Some increase in rainfall is expected for the Konkan coast amidst the overall break Monsoon conditions.
Afrer a break moderate intensity offshore trough may develop along the West coast with some strengthening of westerlies from Arabian Sea causing rainfall to increase along konkan coast.
Forecasted 850 hPa winds for the west coast for 25th August.
Mumbai: From 25th, Friday, possibility of marginal increase in rainfall with higher frequency of showers, up to approximately 15-30 mm/day across MMR region.
*Occasional thunder possible.
Maharashtra Ghats can get some heavy showers, very beneficial for dams and agriculture.
Pune: Some increase in rainfall, with lightshowers in parts of the city. Pleasant weather.
Jalgaon/Ahmednagar districts can get light showers in few areas.
Marathwada and Vidarbha: Light rain in some districts (Ch. Sambhajinagar, Jalna, Nanded, Hingoli, Yavatmal, Beed, Amravati, Akola, Buldhana, Nagpur, Chandrapur, Gadchiroli). Few regions can get moderate showers/thundershowers (maybe slightly heavier for eastern Vidarbha), but not well distributed.
मराठवाडा आणि विदर्भ: काही जिल्ह्यांमध्ये हलका पाऊस (च. संभाजीनगर, जालना, नांदेड, हिंगोली, यवतमाळ, बीड, अमरावती, अकोला, बुलढाणा, नागपूर, चंद्रपूर, गडचिरोली). काही प्रदेशांमध्ये मध्यम सरी/ मेघगर्जनेसह पाऊस पडू शकतो (कदाचित पूर्व विदर्भासाठी जरा जास्त असेल), परंतु त्याचे वितरण चांगले नाही.
Gujarat: Mainly dry weather with very little rainfall. Coastal areas such as Navsari, Valsad may get few light/moderate showers. Vadodara/Bharuch and parts of Saurashtra may see some cloudy skies with chance of light showers in few places.
ગુજરાત: ખૂબ ઓછા વરસાદ સાથે મુખ્યત્વે શુષ્ક હવામાન. નવસારી, વલસાડ જેવા દરિયાકાંઠાના વિસ્તારોમાં હળવા/મધ્યમ વરસાદ પડી શકે છે. વડોદરા/ભરૂચ અને સૌરાષ્ટ્રના કેટલાક ભાગોમાં વાદળછાયું આકાશ જોવા મળી શકે છે અને થોડા સ્થળોએ હળવા વરસાદની શક્યતા છે.Eastern and northeastern parts of the country will see active Monsoon conditions with moderate to heavy rain for eastern parts of Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, parts of West Bengal, Sikkim and the northeastern states.
Due to very weak Monsoon conditions in Kerala, Tamil Nadu will continue to benefit from scattered thundershowers.
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Drought in Kerala worsens...
The El Nino (warming of surface waters) in the Pacific Ocean has weakened the westerly winds, and the cyclone formations in the Arabian Sea and the Bay of Bengal just ahead of the monsoon could have adversely affected monsoon rainfall in Kerala, the IMD director explained.
"Now it is the break monsoon period as the monsoon trough is now located somewhere over the Odisha coast. This may further move towards the Himalayas, bringing more rain to the North-Northeast region and Nepal and taking the rain away from our region," Santhosh said.
Kerala is now pinning its hopes on the Northeast Monsoon, which is expected between October and December.
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