Outlook for this week...Monday 8th May to Thursday 11th May...posted 7th Night.
The first low pressure of the year BB-1 is likely to form by 8th May west of Nicobar islands in the Bay of Bengal.
BB-1 will intensify into a depression around 9th, and then into a cyclone by 10th/11th May.
Heavy rain, strong winds and very rough sea conditions are expected for Andaman and Nicobar islands.
No potential threat to Indian mainland coast
Initial path of BB-1 will be north-northwest and then turn northeast towards Myanmar.
BB-1 will open the gates for cross equatorial South-Westerlies to reach parts of southern Bay and Nicobar islands region...need to monitor if this leads to SWM onset over the Andaman-Nicobar islands.
BB-1 will cause subsidence over most of Indian region and suck out the moisture from the subcontinent.
⚠️ Heat Alert for NW and Central India.
As forecasted in our earlier post, the typical hot and dry 'May' weather is likely for North, Northwest and central India in the coming days.
By 11th, places will exceed 43°C in Rajasthan, Vidarbha, and Gujarat Region, and possibly cross 45°C in Vidarbha and Northwest India.
*Warm and humid weather. Chance of some light patchy rain till Tuesday 9th May.
* Max/min around 33-34C and 26-27C.
*Eastern townships, Navi Mumbai region and Thane district may get some localized thundershowers.
*Interior Konkan, Panvel, Karjat may see higher max of 37-38°C as the week progresses.
*Chance of thundershowers till 9th/10th May.
*Weather to warm up significantly after that.
*Days may reach around 39°C towards the end of this week.
*Min to be around 22°C.
Gujarat: Mainly hot and dry weather, with many places seeing around or above 40°C max temperature.
Ahmedabad/Gandhinagar region may see 42-43°C max this week. Baroda and Bhuj will also see max around 41°C. Bharuch region can also see max close to 40°C.
Surat will see max of around 35-36°C initially, but rising to 37-38°C by the end of the week.