vagaries© of the weather.blog written by rajesh kapadia.concentrating on meteorology of the Indian sub continent and extreme world weather since 55 years
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Rainfall last 24 hrs ..Dadar 71 mms, Mumbai Colaba 56 mms, Scrub 36 mms.
Orange Alert by IMD..but Doppler Radars not Working !
Credit Australian Government Bureau of metereology latest issued 21 06 2022Issued 21 June 2022The latest Climate Driver Update and Climate Model Summary are now available on the Bureau's website.La Niña WATCH activated; negative Indian Ocean Dipole likelyThe 2021–22 La Niña event has reached an end, with a majority of indicators currently at neutral levels. However, some model outlooks suggest La Niña may re-form later in 2022. As a result, the Bureau's ENSO Outlook status has moved to La Niña WATCH. La Niña WATCH means there is around a 50% chance of La Niña forming later in 2022. This is approximately double the normal likelihood. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is currently neutral. However, the IOD index has been below zero over the past six weeks, with the latest weekly value (−0.49 °C) below the negative IOD threshold value of −0.4 °C. All climate model outlooks surveyed suggest a negative IOD is likely to form over the coming months. A negative IOD increases the chances of above average winter–spring rainfall for much of Australia. It also increases the chances of warmer days and nights for northern Australia.
IMD GFS continuosly showing Arbian sea UAC to intensify further into a WML and moving towards kuch...is this a glitch??
As of now, it doesn't seem like the Arabian Sea UAC will become a WML, although the circulation is expected to descend till 850 hPa at least and move off the north konkan coast.
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Talking about the current Mumbai Pollution