Monday, November 23, 2015

Posted Monday Night:

Mumbai on Tuesday: will see Thundery Developments in Eastern Skies. Rain in parts of city by evening.
Wednesday there can be a slight increase in activity, with thunder showers in city.

Cloudy weather and some rains expected again around 1st December...more of that Later.

Pune: Some  showers on Tuesday in parts of city. Increase in showers on Wednesday.

Weather becomes dry after Thursday in Maharashtra.

The Low AS-3, from the Bay has now tracked West, and is positioned 8N around Maldives/Lakshdweep Islands.Possible track will be North. 
There is a possibility of clouds extending towards the coast.

Western Maharashtra on:
Tuesday 24th: Light to Medium ( 10-15 mms) rainfall expected in Kerala, Konkan and Goa. Heavier falls expected in Coastal Karnataka.
Medium rains (10-30 mms) in Madhya Maharshtra expected. (Pune, Satara, Ahmadnagar and Nasik). 
An isolated patch of heavier rain expected in Nasik, Satara and adjoining districts.
Light rain in Southern M.P.

Wednesday 25th: Medium showers in Konkan and Districts of Pune, Ahmadnagar and Kolhapur ( 10-30 mms). Medium rains in Coastal Karnataka and Goa. 

Another Low Pressure Area is likely to form in the Bay, South Andaman Sea, around the 26th of November. This may deepen and track towards the TN or AP coast.

From Abhijit: 
Pune getting heavy rains in parts of city for second consecutive day on Monday..
Rainfall till 8.30pm Monday:
Katraj 63mm
Yerwada 50mm
Wadgaon Sheri AWS 46mm
Saswad 41mm
St. Joseph AWS 33mm
Alandi 19mm
Pune 14mm
Pune AP 8mm till (5.30pm)

Dhom Dam near Wai recorded 61 mms rain on Monday till 9.30 pm IST.

See Sunday Rains in Western Maharashtra posted by Rohit (Below Post)


Abhijit Modak said...

Yesterday evening TS lashed some parts of Thane dist (NE outer township of Mumbai)

Some rainfall ending 8.30 today:

Shahapur 59mm
Ulhasnagar 35mm
Kalyan 33mm
Ambernath 17mm
Murbad 14mm

NilaY Wankawala said...

Credit Australian bureau of meteorology
Latest ENSO Wrap-Up issued 24 November 2015

The latest ENSO Wrap-Up and Climate Model Summary are now available on the Bureau's website.

Indian Ocean Dipole over and out for 2015
The positive Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD)—which reinforced El Niño impacts since late August—has broken down over the past fortnight. This rapid decay is common at the start of the monsoon season. The IOD has little influence on Australian climate between December and April.

More broadly, Indian Ocean temperatures have remained warmer than average through 2015; the October sea surface temperature (SST) anomaly for the Indian Ocean was the highest positive anomaly for any month on record. The warm Indian Ocean appears to have offset some of the drying influence from El Niño during the winter months.

A strong El Niño persists in the tropical Pacific Ocean. The event is comparable to the record events of 1997–98 and 1982–83. International climate models suggest that El Niño SSTs are approaching their peak, and will decrease in the first quarter of 2016. With such warm SSTs, models suggest the tropical Pacific is unlikely to return to neutral until at least autumn 2016, although impacts on Australian climate are likely to decline prior to this.

El Niño's influence on Australian rainfall is variable at this time of year, with both wetter and drier summers observed in past events depending on how quickly the event breaks down. However, on average an El Niño summer brings below-average rainfall across northern Queensland, and a slight drying influence across the southeast of Australia. Conversely, inland Western Australia often sees above-average rainfall at this time of year during El Niño.

  4th October  The subtropical ridge continues to extend further east from the Arabian peninsula towards most parts of North west and west c...