Posted @ 22.45 IST Saturday:
Posted @ 1.30 pm IST Saturday: Anticipated Vortex at 700 hpa forms over South Konkan !! Mapped and Charted at 8.30 am IST Saturday..
Vagaries expects the vortex to get embedded in the off shore trough..more as it happens !
Fantastic Maharashtra rainfall amounts posted in comments by abhijit.
Posted @11.30 pm Friday: A trough is getting stabilised at the 700 hpa level off the west coast of India. As anticipated earlier, the likelihood of an embedded vortex in the trough remains a possibility. Studying the wind shear and other factors, it seems the vortex can form as early as Sunday.
The vortex, in all probability, can form anywhere between Dahanu and Goa on the west coast. The region and area of vortex may be small. But, we can expect >100 mms of rain on Sunday, or when the vortex forms.
Lets keep a watch on this..if it happens...