Monsoon Watch - 1 2023....10th April 2023
A different March Scenario this year...so, we cannot go to the stereo type of "Watch" this year..
South West Monsoon Watch Series this year will vary as as the March Weather was a bit extreme..Early readings for Monsoon Forecast:
The first two weeks of March 2023 were no doubt among the hottest on record. But, drastically, the second half, was among the top 10 coldest March in the past 73 years.
To be sure, the first half of the month was above normal. . All
days except March 7 were warmer than normal from March 1
to March 15.
*ENSO-neutral conditions are observed.
* Equatorial sea surface temperatures (SSTs) are near average across most of the Pacific Ocean.
*The tropical Pacific atmosphere is still consistent with a weak La Niña signal.
*ENSO-neutral conditions are expected to continue through the April/May/June and June 2023.
Next Monsoon Watch-(2) on 20th April
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Credit Australian government Bureau of metereology
Issued Tuesday 11 April 2023
The latest Climate Driver Update and Climate Model Summary are now available on our website.
El Niño WATCH continues
The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is currently neutral (neither La Niña nor El Niño). However, the ENSO Outlook is at El Niño WATCH.
The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is neutral. A positive IOD event may develop in the coming months. A positive IOD can supress winter and spring rainfall over much of Australia.
The Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) has recently strengthened and moved into the Western Pacific region. MJO pulse is forecast to move into the central and eastern Pacific regions in the coming fortnight, when its influence on rainfall across northern Australia and the Southwest Pacific weakens.
ENSO Outlook
Our ENSO Outlook provides
up-to-date information on the likelihood of an El Niño or La Niña developing.
Current status: EL NIÑO WATCH
More information
Media liaison (03) 9669 4057
Technical enquiries helpdesk.climate@bom.gov.au
Next update expected by 25 April 2023
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