Monday, July 18, 2022

 Posted Monday 18th Morning

Mumbai: After a pause of a few days, "Mumbai rains likely to show some increase on Monday 18th and Tuesday 19th.

Pune: The cool Climate with light rains will continue into Monday and Tuesday. Days pleasant around 26c.

 "Aurangabad may see enhanced rain next 2 days. Will help local  small Dams water Storage "

In Marathi...

औरंगाबाद जिल्ह्यात पुढचे १-२ दिवस चांगला पाऊस अपेक्षित आहे. जिल्ह्यातील धरणांच्या पाणीसाठ्यात काही प्रमाणात वाढ होऊ शकते.

AS-2 which became a depression over the northern Arabian Sea, is weakened as it tracks towards Oman.

Another low BB-7 moving in westward from Odisha will cause moderate to heavy rain across parts of Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha region of Maharashtra and some parts of Marathwada (Aurangabad, Jalna).

Eastern parts of Gujarat (Bharuch/Vadodara/Godhra) and south Rajasthan could see some moderate rain/Thundershowers. Ahmedabad region could get some rain.

By Vagarian Shreyas


NilaY Wankawala said...

Credit Australian Government Bureau of Metereology

Issued 19 July 2022
The latest Climate Driver Update and Climate Model Summary are now available on the Bureau's website.

Negative Indian Ocean Dipole likely; La Niña WATCH remains

The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) index has been close to or exceeded negative IOD thresholds (i.e., at or below −0.4 °C) over the past six weeks. If, as forecast, negative IOD thresholds are exceeded for the next fortnight, 2022 will be considered a negative IOD year. All climate model outlooks surveyed indicate negative IOD conditions are likely for the remainder of winter and spring. A negative phase of the IOD is associated with above average winter–spring rainfall for much of Australia.

The Bureau's ENSO Outlook is at La Niña WATCH, meaning there is about a 50% chance (double the normal likelihood) of La Niña forming later in 2022. La Niña events increase the chance of above average winter–spring rainfall across much of northern and eastern Australia.

The Madden–Julian Oscillation (MJO) is currently weak. Some models suggest the MJO may strengthen in the African region in the coming days, which can bring above average rainfall to northeast Queensland.

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Next update expected on 2 August 2022

shiekhz said...

Hello. sir Models are showing an intense spell for Sindh during 24 to 26th July do you thinks its gonna happen?

Rajesh said...

Shiekz...yes some concentrated heavy rains is possible in Southern Sindh from 24t.Karachi can get more than 50 mms than 50 mms on 24th & 25th.

 20th June  Maharashtra ghats giants wakes up! Some rainfall readings since 9am till 10pm (13 hrs) today in mm below: #Kitwade: 208 #Patgaon...