Monday,8th October Night:
The UAC which was NW off Mumbai has fizzled out, and is almost non-existing.
The Monsoon withdraws from the regions shaded in Green on the map below. It withdraws upto the 19N line on the West Coast.
Mumbai City will get foggy morning in the outer suburbs and city will be warm, with the day touching 33c on Tuesday.
weak thunderclouds from remaining moisture over the ghats in the Eastern sky by evening. Not expected over city.
Outer townships may get light drizzle in the evening from a weak drift from the East side.
As the SW Monsoon retreats South, we may expect some thunderstorms in S.I.Karnataka and adjoining TN, more along the 12N line.(Bangalore falls on 12N)
The stage wise withdrawal of Monsoon and axis movement as per vagaries is shown in vagaries' map.(Prepared on 7th October)
Besides many parameters, the wind shear (Penn State Department of Meteorology chart below) showing stability is the strongest parameter favoring the projected retreat.