Saturday, October 27, 2012
Arabian Sea UAC descends to 925 hp level, and remains embedded in the axis, which is running along the 7N line.
UAC around 7N and 72E, and will descend to sea level as a low within 24 hrs. As a system (AS-2), it will move W/NW, along the 10N , due to a ridge, which will form from the system.
Now, the only factor which may alter the course could be O-3, as i see it coinciding with the timing of AS-2. What we must remember is that AS-2 is far too much in the South at this stage.
BB-10, now at 11.7N and 88.7E, has moved West, deepened to 1004 mb. Will move west, as it will be steered by ridge in the Northern Bay. As projected, the high pressure has kept it South.
We will keep a vigil on the WD (O-3) , though i feel WD will be over India after BB-10 has moved inland.
WD may not spoil the precipitation over TN.
More tonite, with Chennai forecast...
Monsoon Watch - 1... 2021...10th April 2021 (Abridged) These reports are my personal views, study and observations. Estimates and forecast...