Saturday, July 23, 2011
Ok, now Imd announces BB4 has weakened since morning and an associated upper air cyclonic circulation extends upto mid-tropospheric levels. Fair enough !
But, the associated precipitating clouding has moved westwards even faster. Morning we noticed thick clouding over Western M.P. and approaching Eastern regions of Gujarat. Presently, at 4 pm, we see the mass of clouds having slid into the Saurashtra peninsula, and having thinned out in eastern Gujarat. Current intensity of rain has decreased since the morning observations.(BB4 going weaker).
For Bharuch, light rain showers remainder of today, reducing by night.
Infact, at this rate, I see much of Gujarat rainfall decreasing by Sunday evening. And, the rainfall, though weak, creeping into Sindh coast a day earlier. By Sunday evening Karachi should get its anticipated (light) showers.
Signs of West coast off shore trough getting weak ! MJO effect ??
19th October... Heavy Rains likely again in Kerala and South Karnataka (read Bangalore) from 21st - 23rd October...Then SWM may withdraw.. ...