Thursday 9th...Heavy rains with thunder and lightning in North Mumbai Suburbs... 10 pm

9th June 2022

Premonsoon thundershowers in and around Pune and Ratnagiri region ending 8:30 am on 9th June 2022 (in mm). Core Pune city missed the spell though!

Pune Region:

1.Narayangaon:60

2.Vadgaon Rasai:57

3.Daund:54

4.Indapur:51

5.Rahu:48

6.Nimgaon Sawa:46

7.Yavat:40

8.Baramati:25

9.Talegaon Dhamdhere:10

Ratnagiri Region:

1.Kumbhavade:66

2.Devrukh:61

3.Ratnagiri:29

4.Lanja:26

5.Dabhol:24

6.Pawas:20

7.Khedshi:19

8.Soundal:18

9.Oni:13

10.Jaitapur:12

11.Rajapur:10

Data Credits: IMD & Agri Dept

Data compiled by: Vagarian Abhishek Apte

8th June 2022

Early morning isolated rain showers in and around Mumbai Metropolitan Region today. Some readings below(in mm):

1.Pawane MIDC:7

2.Sanpada:5.2

3.Khairna Village:3.4

4.Kopar Khairane & Vashi:1.6

Image and Data Credits: IITM

Compiled By: Vagarian Abhishek Apte 

7th June... 2022

Monsoon over Kerala as a weak current. Advanced upto Kochi... As Kochi Radar showing Westerly depth

Weak Because the upper winds are stubbornly NW  (not SW)

. 

Monsoon, the seasonal change can be said to establish today as the dominating 200 jets are in place. 

Today's 850 ⬇

Monsoon advancing into Coastal Karnataka & South Konkan/Goa in the next 4 days. 

Maharashtra Entry in South Konkan & South Madhya Maharashtra & Pune by 13th...

Mumbai, has been missing the Pre Monsoon rains. Starting by 8th/9th, the city may see some rainfall , being  lighter to moderate  for at least two to three days, i.e. between June 8 and 10.

Proper onset of Monsoon in Mumbai by 15th.

Pre Monsoon Thunder Showers in Aurangabad & Parts of Marathwada on 9th/10th.

Monsoon in Marathwada also around 15th/16th.

मान्सून महाराष्ट्र दक्षिण कोकण आणि दक्षिण मध्य महाराष्ट्र आणि पुण्यात १३ तारखेपर्यंत दाखल होईल...

मुंबईत मान्सूनपूर्व पाऊस झालेला नाही. 8/9 तारखेपासून, शहरात थोडा पाऊस पडू शकतो, किमान दोन ते तीन दिवस हलका ते मध्यम असेल, म्हणजे 8 ते 10 जून दरम्यान.

15 तारखेपर्यंत मुंबईत मान्सूनची योग्य सुरुवात.

9/10 रोजी औरंगाबाद आणि मराठवाड्याच्या काही भागात मान्सूनपूर्व गडगडाट.

मराठवाड्यातही मान्सून १५/१६ च्या आसपास.

5th June Morning

Slow Moving Monsoon Parameters as Continuing from Yesterday

Posted 4th June Night

Vagaries' views on SWM situation 2022:

1. Monsoon currently as a establishing current over Kerala. 

2. Due to prevailing SW winds not having depth, current remains weak. But shear zone forming likely at 700 at 15N, and Westerly Winds strengthen South of it. The Zone then can move North. 

3. 200 jet streams however show good signs and indications of season change in next 4 days. 

4. With 200 jet streams possibly becoming Easterly by 9th june, but lower winds still not SW, we have a complex situation.

5. Resultantly, an offshore trough can form (due to core off 200 ) off the West Coast. 

6.

Pic courtesy Shri Hosalikar (IMD) 

With the heat wave picking up from 4th - 8th, seasonal low in Thar falls to 990...and at TVM remains at 1008, we will have a proper gradient to pull up Monsoon. 

7. Monsoon can set over Kerala by 5th/6thJune. Progress expected along West Coast upto Goa by 9th, and into N. Konkan after the 12th (tentatively)...AS A WEAK CURRENT DUE TO REASONS MENTIONED ABOVE. 

Mumbai: Pre Monsoon Showers to bring relief from 8th.Proper Monsoon not before 12th June. 

Pune: Pre Monsoon showers from 7th june. Relief from heat as day temperatures can fall by 3/4°c

Marathwada & Vidharbh have not much too see except some localised shower pop ups. No sowing to be done till 15th at least. 

Goa : Pre Monsoon rain showers from 6th and weak monsoon entering by 9th.

Gujarat: Hot around 40-42c in most regions. Cannot estimate Monsoon date yet. Not before 15th . 

मराठवाडा आणि विदर्भ: ७ जून नंतर काही भागात मान्सून पूर्व पावसाची शक्यता आहे, मात्र पेरणी १५ जून पर्यंत तरी करू नये.

Contribution from Vag. Shreyas

 2nd June...