Tuesday, September 29, 2015

Mumbai Santa Cruz Sees the Hottest Day Ever in September.. on 30th September 2015 ..recording 37.4c...Previous Highest was also on 30th september last year (2014) when the record broken was 37.0c..

An Upper Air Circulation has formed in the South-East Arabian Sea off the Kerala Coast.This will bring rains to Kerala on Wednesday.
This system  may be nudged towards the West.

The other Low in the Bay (mentioned in Tuesday Night Post below) will be "pushing " West into the Peninsula, and can enter the A.P./North T.N. coast as mentioned and track thru the Interior Peninsula..more of this later...

Posted Tuesday Night ( 29th):
Mumbai: While Vagaries had forecasted hot days from October 1st, the mercury impatiently has already risen to 36c at Santa Cruz on Tuesday 29th. A hot Wednesday again expected.
But, the expected thunder showers  seem to be in no hurry to arrive....Mumbai City and surrounding regions can expected Thunder showers in the current week itself, within a day or two. 
Then after the (last) spell of thunder showers, we can  consider the Monsoon withdrawal from Mumbai.

Apropos to our post of Friday 25th, The South West Monsoon has further withdrawn ( on 29th) from all regions North of the retreat line, which runs through from  Gujarat, West M.P. and into Uttarakhand covering West U.P.

Further withdrawal from M.P, North Chattisgarh, U.P. and Bihar will be in the next 2 days.

We wait for the Maharashtra withdrawal till end of the current week.

Also, as forecasted, an East West trough has fromed in the Bay, along the 12N line from the East coast of India into the Bay. A Low (1006 mb) has formed in the Andaman Sea, embedded in the trough. ( Not yet numbered).
We can expect the Low to track West along the trough, and bring rains along the North T.N. coast (including Chennai ) in the next 4 days.( Increase in rains on Thursday for Chennai)

Rain and thunder showers expected this week in South Konkan and Goa also. Next few days this week, thunder showers expected in South Madhya Maharashtra also.

Bangalore will get thunder showers next 2/3 days. Wednesday may see heavy showers, amounting to around 30 mms.

Besides Mumbai, Ratnagiri, Surat, Ahmadabad and Veraval aslo saw 36c on Tuesday 29th September.


Abhijit Modak said...

Some max temp (hot spot) from west India today on 30-09-2015:

Bhuj 40c
Surat 37.7c
Rajkot 37.6c
Veraval 37.5c
Mumbai Scruz & Ahmadabad 37.4c
Thane 37.1c
Ratnagiri 36.9c

NilaY Wankawala said...

What October heat in Mumbai would do i wonder now

BB 18 A Low expected near the Andaman Islands by  Monday 5th. System can strengthen to a depression or cyclone over the Bay of Bengal before...