Saturday, November 03, 2012


First, a refresher , to continue from where we left on Wednesday. Our last forecast on 31st October, Vagaries had put up, reads:- 

"Thursday 1st November- Friday 2nd November: Rainfall can be expected all along this trough line, with the heavier falls in the region the BB-10 system is embedded. Hence precipitation spreading into interior Karnataka, Northern AP and Southern Maharashtra. Light/medium rains drifting into Konkan and coastal Karnataka.
Saturday 3rd November: If the trough remains intact and sustainable (which is questionable as it is not the season), we may see some enhanced rainfall along the Konkan belt."

Thursday/Friday , it seems was almost on stream. A little variation seen was the clouding from the system spreading more eastwards due to South feeding winds remaining strong.Some rains were reported and recorded from the interiors of the state, specially the Eastern parts . Nagpur was cool (25c) and had 17 mms, Gondia 15 mms and Kolhapur 6mms. in the day. Around Pune there were reports of light rains (0.6 mms).(Figs till 5.30pm). 

For Saturday, it is obvious the other option of the trough NOT sustaining, prevails. The trough has been miserably let down by a fast depleting BB-10, now almost over, just a small area of 1006 mb near AP/Chattisgarh border. 
A very weak trough (should we call it a trough?) runs from Goa thru South Mah thru North AP and just fizzling out over the AP coast region.
1 more day of remnant clouds in Interior Konkan, S.Mah, Vid, South Konkan/Goa and coastal AP upto Bengal.

Mumbai City: The wind vane shows a steady East. Was waiting for it to S or SE.
Partly cloudy the city remained hot at 35c. 
South Mumbai  had 2 drops falling in our area at around 8 pm Friday, but cleared off within 15 minutes. (Was out in the lawns last evening, so could manage to witness the few drops, otherwise....doubtfull).


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8 comments:

Abhijit Modak said...

Some rain figures from interior Maharashtra till 8.30am Saturday on 03-11-2012.

Nagpur 16.4mm
Pune 1.2mm
Solapur 5.5mm
Satara 2.3mm
Aurangabad 0.60mm
Sangli 0.5mm
Parbhani 0.05mm

Abhijit Modak said...

Today min temp further increased in Badlapur. So 21.7 C as min temp here

Arpit Sharma said...

Sir,plz provide update when we are going to be free from this hazy weather?

Unknown said...

Now almost cloudy here in dombivli with light rains falling.

Rajiv Kumar said...

Sun is not shining in Delhi-ncr from last one week...fog/haze/mist all around...
so much gloomy weather...
Rajesh, any forecast for N-NW india?

Arpit Sharma said...

@RK
Rajesh sir answered in the vagaries fb group i.e written below
Arpit: dust and haze due to
mixing of 2 air masses from NE
and NW..should clear by
tomorrow as NW gets steady...

funandhealth said...

Thanks Arpit, hopefully things get better from tomorrow...

Rajiv Kumar said...

Thanks Arpit, hopefully things get better from tomorrow...

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