28th Post

 Dispelling "fake news" of impending 1) fatal heat waves to hit India, 

2) A"super El Nino"..

 A once in 150 years El Niñocoming this summer, 

3) Record temperature touching 55°c 

4) India is going to have an unlivable summer 

5) "This is only April, the hottest months are not yet here"... And more of these alarming and panic news circulating. 

>Like we said in the blog on 27th article, there is nothing so vastly unusual... 

> Some facts and actual early high temperatures in the past... Showing earliest 40°c in the past... And much earlier than this year.. (Ref : Vagaries Extreme Blog.) 

1953 . 28 -Feb Akola 40.0°c , Ahmedabad h28 Feb 40.6 °c, Baroda 28th Feb 40.6°

1963 -  23-Feb Bhubaneshwar 42.7c    

1973     28-Feb Ahmadabad, Baroda, Bharuch, Rajkot, Surat.Baroda 41.7c, Bharuch 42.8c

1974.     27th Feb Jalgaon 40°

1976      20- Feb Dohad 42.0c

1981      3-Mar Mumbai Scruz 40.0

• February: In exceptionally warm years, parts
•  of Maharashtra, Gujarat, and Telangana can hit 40°C by 
•  last week of February. For instance, in 2023,
•  several locations in Maharashtra and Gujarat recorded temperatures
•  close to or at 40°C as early as February 12-16.
• 
  
• Pune recorded it's earliest 40°on 20th March 2006.
• 
  
• New Delhi Palam on 23rd March 2004.
• In 2010, the first 45c touched on 10th. April, and on the
• 
  
• same day Nagpur was 44c, Delhi 42.8c. Soon on 15 th April
• 2010, Nawabshah (Pakistan) soared to 47c,
• Simla to 28.2c
•  on 16th, Ganganagar, Akola and Hissar to to 46c. 
• On 19th April 2017, first ever 50 c
• temperature in April in
•  Asia has been recorded at Larkana (Sindh).
• 
  
• And so on and on... So what's different or unusual in heating this year in 2026 ??
• 
  
• > Super El Niño scare: Current State: ENSO Neutral

• Short-term: Neutral conditions likely to continue briefly

  Transition: Rapid shift towards El Niño expected (May–July)

  Probability: 61–94% chance of El Niño dominating later in 2026

• So let us actually wait and watch. 

• 
  

• Conclusion : 1) Hyper blown up

•  contravertial situations 

• 2) Things and

•  Temperatures not going to extreme

•  unbelievably high 

• 3) We need to be alert

•  and cautious, not generating panic.