Co Authors: GSB, Shreyas Dhavale, Pradeep John, Dr. Vineet Singh, Gokul

Saturday, January 31, 2026

Unusual January Warmth in Pune

Pune Shivajinagar average minimum temperature this January is 13.6c which is the 3rd highest avg. minimum temperature recorded here in January since 2014. Data: IMD

The attached map shows average minimum temperature in January for 2014-2026.


Also, on 30th January 2026, Pune recorded a low of 18.2°c.

This was the 4th warmest January nights ever 
The ranking is:
Warmest January Nights Ever:
1. In 2002  :26.6°c
2. In 2013  :20.0°c
3. In 2021  :19.1°c
4. In 2026  :18.2°c

Extreme January Cold

Following a significant winter storm, frigid temperatures lingered in late January 2026 across a vast swath of the U.S


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 NASA Earth Observatory

Thursday, January 29, 2026

Tuesday, January 27, 2026

 27th Night Post:

A series of 3 W.D.s are crossing thru North India.  After the first gone, second W.D. crossed on 27th and into 28th. The induced low over Rajasthan attracted moisture from the Arabian Sea into Central India..seen in image.


The SW pull brought rains to central India and Northern Maharashtra. 

Jalgaon received heavy showers.

Mumbai Pune got mild drizzle (0.1 mm)on 27th morning.

Another W.D. is expected on 30th. This continuous 3 in row systems reduce the cold North winds from blowing, and Prevent the usually expected Cold wave in Maharashtra and Gujarat. 

Temperatures Outlook for 28th Wednesday- 31st Sunday :

Mumbai: Hazy skies with cool winds in the day. Days around pleasant 29/31°c. Nights constant as now at 18/20°c.

Pune: Pleasant days and day temperature at 29/31°c and nights at 14/16°c.

Mahabaleshwar: Pleasant cool days at 25°c but nights not going below 15°c.

Bharuch : Moderate weather with cool day winds. Temperature ranging between 31/32c and 15/16°c.

Monday, January 26, 2026

Maximum/Minimum Temperatures on 26th January 2026

India:




High Rainfall in India: Tamilnadu:

Maharashtra:

Gujarat:

World:
Ceduna Airport (Australia) 49.3°c
Coldest: Suhana(Russia):-51.3°c


Saturday, January 24, 2026

Global Warming is Only A Modest Problem

Human-forced global warming (also called "Climate Change" by some) is only a modest problem.   

The scientific facts are clear:

It is NOT an existential threat to humanity.   It is NOT a crisis.

*Extreme Weather, Enhanced by Climate Change, Is Causing Increasing Numbers of Deaths

You have heard the claim multiple times:   increasing extreme weather resulting from climate change is resulting in many more extreme weather-related deaths.

This is simply untrue.   Deaths from extreme weather (extreme heat/cold, hurricanes, extreme windstorms, flooding, etc.) are down...a LOT (see proof below).


Such deaths are down even though there are a lot more people on the planet.  

Why?   Much better forecasts allow people to get out of the way or prepare.  Many nations have invested in making themselves less vulnerable to severe weather--including some of the poorest.

Want an example?  In 1970, Cyclone (Hurricane) Bhola hit Bangladish and nearly 500,000 people died.


In 2020, a more powerful storm (Super Cyclone Amphan) hit virtually the same location, with only 133 deaths.


Severe storm deaths are profoundly down.....is this a "crisis"?

*Extreme Temperature Deaths Will Decline

There is a deep literature showing that cold waves kill far more people than heat waves.   For example, a 2015 article in The Lancet found 17 times more deaths from cold than heat (see figure from that article below).

Thus, global warming will REDUCE deaths from extreme temperatures. 
From Cliff Masters Blog

------------------------------------



13000 flights Cancelled, Power Outage as Winter grips U.S.


Cold Snap expected in U.S.

See World Weather News Page 



24th January 

Precipitation from the Awaited Strong W.D.




H.P.

Friday, January 23, 2026

Scenes from the W.D FROM North India 

Srinagar Airport 


Shimla 
Kedarnath 
Vande Bharat 
Courtesy Vineet, Salil. M.K

23rd. MORNING...THE WESTERN DISTURBANCE..





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Thursday, January 22, 2026

 22nd January 

Delhi is set to witness a much-awaited change  after one of its longest dry spells in recent years.

Safdarjung observatory last recorded measurable rainfall on 8 October 2025, soon after the southwest monsoon withdrew.

Only a trace was noted on 9 January 2026. Now, rainfall is expected to begin during the early hours of tomorrow.


Wednesday, January 21, 2026

21st January 

Indian Cities Air Quality..Good or Bad ..you decide.






Weekend snow: Russia sees 7 feet, Florida gets a dusting

19th January  2025

Parts of Russia are dealing with the aftermath of a powerful storm that dumped more than 7 feet of snow over the weekend. At the same time, northern Florida experienced rare snowfall. FOX 9 meteorologist Cody Matz reports.


Meanwhile in Australia...

Parts of Western Australia's north are sweltering through a heatwave too hot to be measured by some thermometers.

Severe heatwave conditions are affecting inland parts of WA's Pilbara region and coastal areas from Coral Bay to Kalbarri, and are expected to have maximum temperatures in the high 40s for the remainder of the week.

A picture of a mercury thermometer that reads 50 degrees.

Neil Munro's newly purchased thermometer only goes as high as 50 degrees Celsius. (Supplied: Neil Munro)

When the weather bureau reported maximums of nearly 48 degrees Celsius in Marble Bar this week, local caravan park owner Neil Munro said his newly bought thermometer could not capture the full brunt of the heat.

Mr Munro said in his area, the temperature surpassed 50C.

"The temperature gauge that I just bought not long ago, with the barometer and everything, I was very disappointed with it because it only goes up to 50C,"
Mr Munro said.

"It hit 50C yesterday … we've got the electronic one but that got up above 53C."

A digital weather station on a white table showing a reading of 53.9 degrees Celsius.

Neil Munro's digital weather station recorded a temperature of 53.9C this week at Marble Bar. (Supplied: Neil Munro)

Marble Bar has been called Australia's "hottest town".

Tuesday, January 20, 2026

W.D APPROACHING

This winter's first strong Western Disturbance (WD) to affect the country during 22nd-23rd January!


A strong WD is expected to affect Western Himalayas and northern plains bringing moderate-heavy rain and heavy snowfall over the Himalayan regions of Jammu, Kashmir, Ladakh, Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand and western parts of Nepal. 

Travel should be avoided in the mountains unless very necessary. 

Rain/thundershowers likely in parts of Punjab, Haryana, Delhi NCR region and western Uttar Pradesh.


Mumbai: Warmer days around 31-33°C before the WD, till 22nd January. Nights can be around 18°C. Both day and night temperatures dropping with cool breeze on 23rd and 24th January. Days could be around 29-30°C, and nights may get more pleasant to around 16°C. Not expecting a cold wave for Mumbai region from this WD. 

Thane and Palghar districts will see cooler nights than Mumbai. 


Pune: Warmer days and nights till 22nd January around 31-32°C/15°C range. It will cool down to around 30-31°C and 13-14°C by 23rd and 24th. 


Nashik/Dhule/Jalgaon districts could be 1-3°C cooler than Pune region. 


Lonavala and Mahabaleshwar - cooler nights  around 11-12°C from 23rd/24th onwards


Gujarat: Effect of the WD will be felt from 23rd/24th onwards as daytime temperatures across most of the state will dip to around 29-30°C on 23rd and below 28°C on 24th January. Nights getting cooler with below 16°C on 23rd and below 14°C in many regions of north Gujarat and Saurashtra during 24th-25th January. 


Below: The forecasted winds show the WD trough on 22nd January dipping into Arabian Sea


Forecasted winds at 850 hPa (~1.5 km altitude) on 22nd January as per GFS model.


Forecasted winds at 700 hPa (~3.3 km altitude) on 22nd January as per GFS model.



Forecasted winds at 500 hPa (~5.5 km altitude) on 22nd January as per GFS model.





Sunday, January 18, 2026

Outlook for Monday 19th-23rd Friday:

Dry Weather in Maharashtra & Gujarat:

Mumbai : No large change in  temperature remains in the 29/30° range. But there can be improvement in air quality AQI. The AQI has been averaging 185 "around the day average ".


This could improve marginally to AQI 140/150. ( Due to North winds). 

Pune: Days around 29\30°. AQI average for January shows 171..could improve to 150.


Surat/Bharuch: Dry and windy days.  Temperatures around 31/15°.

Mumbai daily max & minimum temperatures this

January 


Thursday, January 15, 2026

January chill tightens grip: Delhi records 2nd coldest first half of January in 12 years

The Minimum temperatures in Delhi Safdarjung this January first half 


The average minimum temperature in Safdarjung, Delhi, in the first half of January is 6 °C, which is the 2nd lowest average minimum temperature recorded in Delhi in the first half of January since 2013. Data: IMD



Minimum temperatures in Delhi and Haryana on 15th

Wednesday, January 14, 2026


 

 14th January:

Light rain in Madhya Maharashtra on 13th as indicated on 11th Post

Districts Rainfall:

Pune; 0.3 mm

Ahilyanagar: 0.6 mm

Sambhajinagar: o.6 mms

Solapur:1.4 mm

Sangli:0.8 mm

Clouding thermal due to remnant of BB


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Some FAQs on the so called "unusual heat" answered.  [February:  In exceptionally warm years, parts of  Maharashtra ,  Gujarat , a...