Co Authors: GSB, Shreyas Dhavale, Pradeep John, Dr. Vineet Singh, Gokul

Saturday, July 13, 2024

 Posted 13th Night:

Outlook for Sunday 14th to Wednesday 17th:

An off shore trough along the West Coast is expected to bring good rainfall in South Coastal Gujarat, Konkan, Coastal Karnataka and Kerala.

Later, around 15th/16th, we can expect a Low to form (BB-3) in the Bay. This will enhance rainfall in Interior Maharashtra, Saurashtra ( Heavy on 18th) and Gujarat Regions..

Mumbai:

Sunday 14th: Occasional showers, heavy at times. Gusty winds.

Monday15th/Tuesday16th/ Wednesday 17th: Frequency and intensity of rains may not vary  much  compared to Sunday rains. Heavy rains in patches. Cumulative rainfall could be 100-150 mms on Monday/ Tuesday & Wednesday.

Mumbai Lakes can get good rainfall next week, and can bolster the storage to over 35%.

Pune: Light to Moderately good showers on Sunday and Monday, With increase in rains on Tuesday 16th and Wednesday 17th, it will be a cool day at 26c.. .

Goa: Very heavy and good rainfall expected in Goa the forecasted days till 17th..around 60-90 mms/day. Seasonal total can cross the 2000 mms mark .

Sambhajinagar: Medium to heavy rains daily .. 40- 60 mms cumulative from 14th to 16th. Expecting rainfall to decrease on 17th. Should help in the standing crops situation.

Gujarat: Next 2/3 days, South Coastal Gujarat can expect moderate rainfall around 10-12 mms/day rains along the Coast. More rains intensity from Wednesday 17th.

Saurashtra will be lashed by very heavy rains Starting 17th and more on 18th.

Bharuch: Light to medium rains till Tuesday...More rains, sometimes heavy on Wednesday 17th.

Day temperatures are now aroud 32c, may get cooler by 2/3 degrees

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 Chennai SWM 2024 ( 448 mm Average )

Chennai City 395.4 mm

Chennai Airport 418.1 mm

TN state on the whole is on course towards 6th connective excess SWM season.  (2019-2024)

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