Co Authors: GSB, Shreyas Dhavale, Pradeep John, Dr. Vineet Singh, Gokul

Tuesday, March 29, 2016

Posted Tuesday Night...
Next 2 days ( 30th/31st)
Heavy Rains in Sikkim, Meghalaya and Bangladesh .....Moderate rains in rest of North East India States.
Thunder showers in Kerala and adjoining S.I. Karnataka.

30th and 31st march:
Mumbai will continue in the 33/34c range in the day with hot sunny conditions. Slightly better nights as the minimums are expected to fall by 1/2c on Tuesday and Wednesday night.
Pune : Hot days around 39c, with a bit pleasant at night as variation brings the minimum to around 18c.

Bangalore will be partly cloudy, but days will be warm and hot around 35c...
Delhi NCR: Will start feeling the Summer Heat from Friday as the mercury crosses 38c. Minimum rises to over 20c.
Kolkata: Hot at around 35/36c, chances of a thunder shower around on 31st Match/1st April.

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Heat Wave in Malaysia...Maybe the worst yet...
The heatwave caused by El Nino.


In Malaysia, there were relatively stronger El Nino events in 1972, 1982, 1991 and 1997, with 1997 being the strongest year. Perhaps 2016 will rival or surpass that.

Malaysia’s daily mean temperature is between 26°C to 28°C, and at the lowlands temperatures are between 22.5°C at night and 33°C in the daytime, according to the biennial update report (BUR) that Malaysia submitted to the UN Climate Change Convention recently.

On March 19, The Star reported that temperatures had jumped to 39°C in Kangar, 38°C in Alor Setar, 36°C in Penang and Ipoh, and 35°C in Johor Baru, Kota Baru and Kuala Lumpur.

Compare this with the normal average daytime mean temperature of 33°C. Imagine if this kind of heatwave temperature were to be permanent.

The following are among the effects of El Nino in Malaysia:

> Unbearably hot conditions in homes and work places without adequate air conditioning, resulting in health problems such as headaches, fever and even a few deaths.

> Among the most affected are infants and children, the elderly and those who are sick. Schools in some states were forced to close for some days when temperatures exceeded the unhealthy level.

> A decline or absence of rainfall, causing a drop in water levels in reservoirs, parched agricultural lands and delays in planting of rice. Water shortages may soon emerge.

> Decline in agricultural production. According to Malaysian Agricultural Research and Development (Mardi), a two-degree temperature rise could lead to a 13% reduction in padi yield. A 15% decline in seasonal rainfall could lead to a drop in yield of up to 80%.

> The rise in sea temperature has resulted in fish migrating, affecting fish catch, according to the Agriculture and Agro-based Industry Ministry.

> The heatwave results in more fires on agricultural land, forest and peatlands. Besides the damage caused, this also contributes to “haze”.

> Reduced water flow may increase the concentration of pollutants such as ammonia, organic and solid matter in streams and rivers. This may threaten marine life and the safety of water used for human consumption.

> There is greater intensity of energy use due to increased use of air conditioners to counter the heat. This makes it more difficult to control Greenhouse Gas emissions.

Excerpts from The Star Online..

Saturday, March 26, 2016

Unusual Heating of Bangalore..see daigram of Last 30 days..
Max temps...India 25th March

Friday, March 25, 2016

Mumbai: Cloudy weather on the weekend...with light rain possible in some parts of city and outer townships.


Wednesday, March 23, 2016

Wednesday 23rd March ...

As expected, the day got hotter in Maharashtra...some of Wednesday 23rd Maximum temperatures:
Several 40s today in Maharashtra....
Thane 42.3c, Solapur 41.9c, Malegaon 41.6c, Jalgaon & Chandrapur 40.2c, Sangli 40c, Nagpur 39.9c, Palghar 39.6c, Nashik 38.6c, Mumbai Scruz 38.2c, Pune 38c, Mahableshwar 34.5c, 

Tuesday, March 22, 2016

World Water Day....22nd March 2016:

Water is the essential of Life...and still the age old phrase holds good "Water water everywhere, and not a drop to spare''
This chart shows total surface area of earth.

Total surface area of earth: 510,072,000 sq km

Total water surface area: 70.8% (361,132,000 sq km)
Total land surface area: 29.2% (148,940,000 sq km)
There are a total of 5 oceans, and they are the Arctic, Pacific, Atlantic, Indian, and the Antarctic Ocean. Out of these five, there are three major oceans, the Atlantic, Pacific, and the Indian Ocean. They account for 90 percent of the area covered by oceans.

Water covers approximately 70 percent of our world's surface. Yet only 2.5 percent of the Earth's water is fresh and thus suitable for consumption. Not only that, but of that 2.5 percent, more than two-thirds is locked away in glaciers and not particularly able to help meet the growing demands of society. 
By far, the most abundant and available source of fresh water is underground water supplies or wellsprings known as aquifers.
Now,with 2 successive poor monsoons, India is seeing a depletion in ground water also. Again, ground water gets contaminated by natural as well as artificial (arsenic, fluoride,nitrate, heavy metal) means.
This is a major concern, as a large population in India has this as their major source of drinking water.
Good, if not excellent, water management is needed to preserve and store as much fresh water as possible from our commonly available source, the only source...Rains.
85% of fresh water (in India) is used for agriculture.Water efficiency in agriculture can be improved with low cost new technology. Even in urban and industrial uses, water efficiency can be improved with proper demand management and re-cycling.
Our existence and development depends on proper use and saving of water.
Proper use, economical use for Humans, and proper channelisation preventing evaporation and wastage is necessary to overcome this problem (In India). For more reading on this, read "Is India really Water Starved" written 4 years ago in this blog. Article found on Author's Page. (2012)

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Maharasthra:
Reservoir and Dams Storage Position (% 0f Full):

Konkan 53% ( 53%)   
Marathwada 5% (15%) In Aurangabad, Jayakwadi Reservoir is today at 0% Storage (15% Last Year). In Marathwada, 6 Major Dams are today at 0% Storage ! 
Nagpur Region 29% (31%) Nasik Region 23% (41%) 
Pune Region 27% (48%)  Amravati Region 22% (34%) 
Other Regions ot covered above 33% (41%).
Overall Maharashtra 24% (39%)

[Bracketed () Figures are of 2015 same Date.]

Water supplying Lakes to Mumbai are 33% full ( Approx 4.8Lmltrs) as per latest reports....With supply at 20% cut rate effective, the water available to Mumbai is for about 110 days ..That is upto around 10th July. 
Barvi Dam supplying to Badlapur and some Eastern Outer Townships of Mumbai is 41% full (44%). Acute water shortage due to low levels of dams supplying water to Navi Mumbai.

Monday, March 21, 2016

Posted Monday Night:

Tuesday 22nd:Clear weather with days around 31c at Mohali for the New Zealand /Pakistan Cricket match.
Wednesday 23rd:
New Delhi will be hot for the afternoon match between England and Afghanistan.
The match at Banglore between India and Bangladesh will see hot day (35/36c) and partly cloudy weather. Thundery developments possible around.

Hottest Place in India shot up to 43c at Nandigama (Coastal A.P.) on Monday..

Sunday, Mumbai Scruz was 36.9c (+4.5c) and Monday it was 35.8c (+3.4c )...Thats good enough, as the hottest day in March ever for Scruz was way back in 1956, when on 28th March it touched 41.7c...That was very hot !!
Colaba dropped from 34c (+3c)on Sunday to 31.8c on Monday.
Tuesday and Wednesday will see clear weather, with winds varying between N and NW (periphery of a High Pressure)...thus keeping the mercury hot in the day around 35/36c. Nights will be better off around 22/23c at Scruz. Almost 13c variations between day and night.

Moderate rain expected in Abu Dhabi on Tuesday and Wednesday. Gusty winds around 32-35 kmph...around 3-5 mms /day. 
Oman will get moderate showers on Tuesday, with heavier spells in South Oman and Muscat on Wednesday.

Except in Kerala and North_East Region, weather will be dry in India on Tuesday and Wednesday... M-4 , another Western Disturbance, moves into the Western regions of Pakistan and Pak Punjab on 24th, with possible scattered rain in Upper Sindh. The system gains strength on 25th in Central, North Pakistan and Kashmir.
Plains of north India get the effect of M-4 from 25th Night...Another detailed update in a few days.
Strong westerly winds likely in Karachi on Tuesday, and cloudy on Thursday. 

New Delhi may start heating up to above 35c on Wednesday and cross 35c on Thursday.

 18th Evening Pre Withdrawal Thundershowers in full force