Some daytime relief for Mumbai on Friday: Day will be cooler at 33/34c, less than the 36c experienced on Thursday Mumbai Friday will be cloudy. Light rain expected post noon . Around 3-5 mms expected.

Showers n Bangalore: 4 mms till Thursday morning and another 15 mms in the day.

Chennai, after 77 mms ( Meena) and 81 mms ( Nungam)  overnight received another 20 mms on Thursday. 


Localized Vortex plus LPA pounds Tamil Nadu, ending 8.30 on 13.11.2014
The low pressure area over southwest Bay of Bengal and neighbourhood now  lies over Gulf of Mannar and adjoining areas of south coastal Tamil Nadu and Sri Lanka. Associated cyclonic circulation extends upto 3.1  kms a.s.l.

in mm (min 40 mm)

Rameswaram - 145
Thiruthuraipoondi - 139
Thalaignayiru - 120
Cholavaram - 113
Muthupet - 109
Villivakkam - 103
Vedaranyam - 101
Thamaraipakkam - 100 
Poondi - 96
Madukkur - 94
Mahabalipuram - 93
Ponneri - 92
Poonamallee - 92
Korattur Anicut - 92
Chengalpattu - 92 
Puzhal - 91 
Red hills - 90
Nagapattinam - 90
Thirumarugal - 90
Tambaram - 87
Hindustan University - 87
Karaikal - 84
Taramani - 84
Chembarabakkam - 82
Ambattur - 80
Chennai - 80
Kattukuppam - 79
Kelambakkam - 78
Tirukkalukkunram - 78
Anna University - 78 
Chennai AP - 77
Madavaram - 76
Kalavai -  76
Mayiladuthurai - 76
Uthiramerur - 75
Ennore - 74
Kollidam - 72
Papanasam Dam - 72
Cheyyar - 71
Avadi -  69
Sirkali - 65 
Kolapakkam - 64
Tindivanam - 61
Chennai DGP office - 60
Nanilam - 60
Arakonam - 58 
Thiruvalangadu - 58
Tiruvallur - 55
Kodumudi - 54
Annamalai Nagar - 53
Arani - 52 
Tiruttani - 51
Maduranthagam - 50
Lalapet - 50
Thiruvidaimaruthur - 49
Kumbakonam - 48
Gumidipoondi - 47
Lower Papanasam - 46
Marakkanam - 46 
Needamangalam - 45
Mannargudi - 45
Pappireddipatti - 44 
Servlar - 43
Pattukottai -  43
R.K.Pet - 43
Chengam - 42
Sriperumbudur - 41
Kancheepuram - 41
Aduthurai - 40
Vandavasi - 40
Cuddalore - 40
Mailam - 40
Chidambaram - 40
Manjalar - 40
 

Medium heavy rains here at Mahalaxmi...with lightning and thunder....will give amount soon.....9.45 pm IST

Mumbai Maximum on Thursday 13th November: Colaba 36.1c and Scruz 36.3c...Colaba minimum 26.0c and Vagaries max 35.8c and min 27.0c  !!
Light rains reported from Mira Road (See comments) and Northern Most parts.
Hottest Place in India Thursday was only slightly higher , Rajkot at 36.7c.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Radiation Dose Rate 30 Times higher than Ground Levels for a Plane Cruising at 39000 feet !...And That is when the Sun is quiet...!!..See Space News Page

Wednesday Night report: 
Intermittent Rains in Chennai as forecasted....Meenambakam measures 27 mms in 12 hrs ended 8.30 pm IST Wednesday, with 26 mms . overnight......Should approach Vagaries' estimated 80-90 mms by Thursday morning
Thursday will see showers with another 25-30 mms till Friday morning. 

Nagapattinum saw 61 mms till 8.30 pm Wednesday in 12 hrs.


BB-14 is tracking West towards Sri Lanka and is centred at 9.4N and 81E, North of Trincomalee (Sri Lanka), just off the NE Coast.  Tracking W/NW, good precipitation on Thursday for TN coast.

West Coast trough persists from Gujarat to Kerala. Showers expected in Saurashtra in pockets on Thursday. West coast from Goa to Kerala will see medium to heavy showers Thursday.

Atlast Nellore gets very heavy rain in this NEM, Andhra rainfall ending 8.30 am on 13.11.2014
The low pressure area over southwest Bay of Bengal and neighbourhood now  lies over Gulf of Mannar and adjoining areas of south coastal Tamil Nadu and Sri Lanka. Associated cyclonic circulation extends upto 3.1  kms a.s.l.

in mm (min 10 mm)

Allur - 143
Konduru - 109
Atmakur  - 100
Kavali - 99
Irugulam - 99
Gudur - 95
Dagadarthi - 94
Pennepally - 94
Ithampadu - 88
Indukurapet - 85
Ojili - 85
Chinthavaram - 83
Nellore - 81
Tada - 81
Padamala - 81
Sullurpet - 80
Yakasiri - 79
M Nidamalur - 78
Mungalapalem - 78
Avanigadda - 78
Dubagunta - 73
Vidyanagar - 72
Kovur - 71
Chouta Bheemavaram - 70
Chiyyavaram - 70
Chillakur - 69
Arimanipadu - 68
Kaligir - 68
Satavedu - 67
Throvagunta - 67
Mukthinutala Padu - 67
D.C.Palle - 66
Vampalle - 66
Karani - 65
Mittathmakuru - 65
Gottigundala - 64
Garugubili - 64
Sriharikota - 63
Gollagunta - 63
Butchireddypalem - 62
Isukapalle - 62
Vinjamur - 61
Srikalahasti - 61
Jaladanki - 60
Sydapuram - 60
Koduru - 60
Tanguturu River - 60
Manneti  kota - 60
Donakonda - 60
Satyavedu - 60
Dakkali - 60
Vijayapuram - 60
 

LPA brings 2nd day of heavy rains in Tamil Nadu, ending 8.30 am on 12.11.2014
The low pressure area now lies over southwest Bay of Bengal and neighbourhood and its associated cyclonic circulation extends upto mid tropospheric levels.

in mm (min 10 mm)

Pillur - 104
Pegumbahallah - 72
Coonoor PTO - 69
Lower Papanasam - 67
Papanasam Dam - 66 
Nanguneri - 63
Geddhai - 59
Kundha Bridge - 59
Avadi - 57
Rameswaram - 54
Buraliar - 51
Kothagiri - 40
Manalar - 40 
Ambattur - 40
Puzhal - 39
Madavaram  - 38
Ennore - 38
Sathyamangalam - 36
Tharamani - 36
Thirukkuvalai - 35
Kolapakkam - 32
Ketti - 30
Nagapattinam - 30
Bhavanisagar - 28
Coonoor - 27
Sivagiri - 26 
Chennai AP - 26
Mettupalayam - 25
Kinnakorai - 24
Mayiladuthurai - 23
Thalainayarau - 22
Servalar - 22
Karikkal - 21
Chettikulam - 21
Anna University - 21
Gobichettipalayam - 21
Lower Kodayar - 21
Ayikudi - 20 
Marandahalli - 18
Aralvoimozhi - 18
Suralode - 18
Kannimar - 18
Emerland - 18
Upper Kodayar - 17
DGP office - 17
Kumarapalayam - 17
Watrap - 17
Rajapalayam - 17
Perundurai - 16
Chengalpattu - 16
Avalanche - 15
Anaikidangu - 15
Cuddalore - 15
Eravangalar - 15
Thammampatty - 15 
Pamban - 15
Chidambaram - 15
Perambalur - 15
Uttamapalayam - 15
Chembarabakkam - 15
Anaikidangu - 14
Satyabama Univeristy - 14
Illuppur - 14
Perungalur - 14 
Vedaranyam - 13 
Chennai City - 13
Ponneri - 13
Satankulam - 13
Tozhudur - 13 
Anaikaranchatram - 12
Alangayam - 12 ,
Bhoothapandy - 12
Trichy Town - 12
Sattur - 12 
Tiruchirappalli AP - 12
Upper Bhavani - 12
Tuticorin - 11
Tiruttani - 11
Grand anaicut - 11
Lalgudi - 10
Usilampatti - 10 
Uthagamandalam (A) - 10
Keeranur - 10 
Thoothukudi Port - 10
Kulasekaharam - 10
Parangipettai - 10
Porthimund - 10
Musiri - 10
Tirumayam - 10
Thiruvattur - 10
Tambaram - 10
Maniyachi - 10
Srivilliputhur - 10 
Kanyakumari - 10
Budalur - 10

Tamil Nadu gets Rain after a break, ending 8.30 am on 11.11.2014
The low pressure area now lies over southeast Bay of Bengal and neighbourhood and its associated cyclonic circulation extends upto 4.5 kms a.s.l.

in mm (min 5 mm)

Kothagiri - 83 
Thirumoorthi - 78
Udumalpet - 56
Coonoor - 54 
Coonoor PTO - 53
Manjalar - 46
Orthanad (A) - 45
Nallar - 40
Sivagiri - 34
Ayikudi - 33 
Kulasekahram - 33
Mardhanadhi - 32
Amaravathi - 28
Orthanad - 27
Mannargudi - 27 
Bodinaickanur - 26
Thenkasi - 18 
Kodaikanal  17
Ketti - 16 
Bodinayakanur (A)- 16 
Periyakulam - 15
Upper Aliyar - 15
Satankulam - 14
Pollachi - 13
Muthupet 13
Attur - 13
Madukkur - 12
Bhavani - 12
Shencottah - 11
Valparai taluk office - 11 
Kodaikanal Boat Club - 10
Sothupparai - 10
Pillur - 10
Vaigai Dam - 8
Veerapandi - 8
Adiramapattinam - 7
Pegumbahallah - 6
Eravangalar - 6
Manalar - 5
Thunnakkadavu - 5
Aranmanipudur - 5
Manomboly - 5

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Finally Northern plains got the usual chilly mornings that were missing this season. Minimum temperatures which were above normal dropped below normal within a day. The maximum fall is seen in Haryana, Delhi-NCR and parts of west Uttar Pradesh. Muzaffarnagar recorded the minimum temperature in the plains at 8.0c. However Una near the shivalik hills of HP recorded minimum of just 6.6c. Churu in NW Rajasthan recorded minimum of just 8.4c. Delhi-NCR saw a steep fall in night temperatures with temperatures dropping by almost 6c in just 24 hours. Most places recorded minimum between 10.0-13.0c. Narela & Pusa(IARI) recorded the lowest minimum temperature of 10.0c in the region. However temperature remained largely above normal in Rajasthan & East UP. HERE ARE THE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE RECORDED IN THE MORNING TODAY !!!

S.No
STATE
CITY
Minimum Temperature(°C)
Departure (Normal)
1.
PUNJAB
AMRITSAR
10.9
(1)

2.
PUNJAB
ANANDPUR SAHIB
11.6
(0)


3.
PUNJAB
BHATINDA
10.7
(-1)


4.
PUNJAB
FEROZEPORE
10.2
(-1)


5.
PUNJAB
JALANDHAR
11.4
(0)


6.
PUNJAB
KAPURTHALA
11.0
(0)


7.
PUNJAB
LUDHIANA
9.2
(-4)


8.
PUNJAB
PATHANKOT
11.4
(0)


9.
PUNJAB
PATIALA
11.9
(-1)


10.
CHANDIGARH
CHANDIGARH
12.0
(0)


11.
HARYANA
AMBALA
12.0
(-1)


12.
HARYANA
BHIWANI
10.6
(-2)


13.
HARYANA
HISSAR
8.5
(-4)


14.
HARYANA
KARNAL
9.9
(-3)


15.
HARYANA
KURUKSHETRA
12.6
(0)


16.
HARYANA
NARNAUL
10.5
(-2)


17.
HARYANA
ROHTAK
12.3
(0)


18.
HARYANA
SIRSA
9.1
(-3)


19.
DELHI-NCR
SAFDARJUNG
11.2
(-3)


20.
DELHI-NCR
PALAM
12.7
(-2)


21.
DELHI-NCR
LODHI ROAD
11.0
(-3)


22.
DELHI-NCR
RIDGE
14.7
(0)


23.
DELHI-NCR
AYANAGAR
11.9
(-2)


24.
DELHI-NCR
FARIDABAD
12.8
(-1)


25.
DELHI-NCR
GURGAON
10.4
(-4)


26.
DELHI-NCR
DELHI UNIVERSITY
14.8
(0)


27.
DELHI-NCR
JAFARPUR
11.4
(-3)


28.
DELHI-NCR
MUNGESHPUR
10.7
(-3)


29.
DELHI-NCR
NAJAFGARH
13.1
(-1)


30.
DELHI-NCR
NARELA
10.0
(-4)


31.
DELHI-NCR
NOIDA
13.6
(0)


32.
DELHI-NCR
PITAMPURA
14.2
(0)

S.No	State	City	Minimum Temperature(°C)	Departure(Normal)
33.	DELHI-NCR	PUSA	&nbsp 12.1	(-2)
34.	DELHI-NCR	PUSA(IARI)	&nbsp 10.0	(-3)
35.	DELHI-NCR	HINDON	&nbsp 10.4	(-3)
36.	UTTAR PRADESH	AGRA	&nbsp 15.2	(1)
37.	UTTAR PRADESH	ALIGARH	&nbsp 14.2	(0)
38.	UTTAR PRADESH	ALLAHABAD	&nbsp 17.0	(2)
39.	UTTAR PRADESH	BAREILLY	&nbsp 12.2	(-3)
40.	UTTAR PRADESH	FURSATGANJ	&nbsp 15.6	(0)
41.	UTTAR PRADESH	GORAKHPUR	&nbsp 14.9	(-1)
42.	UTTAR PRADESH	HARDOI	&nbsp 16.6	(2)
43.	UTTAR PRADESH	JHANSI	&nbsp 19.2	(5)
44.	UTTAR PRADESH	KANPUR	&nbsp 16.8	(4)
45.	UTTAR PRADESH	LUCKNOW	&nbsp 14.4	(0)
46.	UTTAR PRADESH	MEERUT	&nbsp 11.1	(-2)
47.	UTTAR PRADESH	MORADABAD	&nbsp 15.5	(0)
48.	UTTAR PRADESH	MUZAFFARNAGAR	&nbsp 8.0	(-3)
49.	UTTAR PRADESH	SHAHJAHANPUR	&nbsp 11.5	(-1)
50.	UTTAR PRADESH	SULTANPUR	&nbsp 15.8	((3)
51.	UTTAR PRADESH	VARANASI	&nbsp 17.0	(2)
52.	RAJASTHAN	AJMER	&nbsp 18.4	(5)
53.	RAJASTHAN	ALWAR	&nbsp 12.9	(-1)
54.	RAJASTHAN	BARMER	&nbsp 16.6	(0)
55.	RAJASTHAN	BHARATPUR	&nbsp 14.7	(0)
56.	RAJASTHAN	BHILWARA	&nbsp 18.2	(3)
57.	RAJASTHAN	BIKANER	&nbsp 13.1	(-1)
58.	RAJASTHAN	BUNDI	&nbsp 17.0	(4)
59.	RAJASTHAN	CHITTORGARH	&nbsp 16.4	(5)
60.	RAJASTHAN	CHURU	&nbsp 8.4	(-4)
61.	RAJASTHAN	JAIPUR	&nbsp 15.8	(2)
62.	RAJASTHAN	JAISALMER	&nbsp 14.0	(-2)
63.	RAJASTHAN	JODHPUR	&nbsp 17.5	(2)
64.	RAJASTHAN	PILANI	&nbsp 11.4	(-1)
65.	RAJASTHAN	SAWAI MADHOPUR	&nbsp 16.5	(4)
66.	RAJASTHAN	SIKER	&nbsp 13.8	(3)
67.	RAJASTHAN	UDAIPUR	&nbsp 15.2	(-2)

Tuesday Morning:

And its moving as mentioned below...Mumbai night temperatures rising..24c (Scruz), 25.8c Colaba and 26.5c at Vagaries.

Colder in Delhi with Narela at 10.0c, Gurgaon at 10.4c and Sjung at 11.2c.

BB-14 , A Low Pressure at 10N at 87.8E....

Mumbai Santa Cruz records 36.3c as Monday's High...

Also learn about  the Circumzenithal arc..or the "upside down rainbow"..on Current weather Page

Posted Sunday 9th Night: 

Mumbai: Hot on Monday at 35/36c, with East winds.
Tuesday will be partly cloudy and thundery developments in the East. Light rains likely on Wednesday. ( Upto 5 mms). Rise in night temperatures after Tuesday.

As BB-13 dissipates , Ongole in Prakasam district received 21 mms rain overnight and 8 mms till Sunday evening. Several towns in Prakasam and Nellore received between 10-20 mms.

Now, BB-14, our next anticipated Low, is ready and entering the Andaman Sea. Still at 8N and 96E, it is estimated at 1006 mb. Tracking W/NW, it will move into the Bay on Monday. As per current indications, should track towards the TN coast, but will ultimately be at Depression strength when crossing TN coast around 13th Night.

Chennai: Cloudy Monday, and getting overcast on Tuesday. Rains increasing from Late Tuesday Night. Intermittent rains on Wednesday and frequency and intensity increasing on Wednesday night. Accumulated rains from Tuesday night to Thursday morning cold be 80-90 mms.

Western India:
We have easterlies blowing along the west coast, rising the day temperatures in the coastal cities of the Konkan and Goa. 
From Tuesday,10th, the afternoons and post noon period will see West winds blowing from the Sea into the Interiors of the Coastal Belt. This will form a merging (meeting) of the prevailing East winds with the West winds along the strip from North Konkan to Southern Karnataka. 

As a result, thunder showers will develop in the hinterland regions, with rain clouds bringing light rains to the coast.
Result: Absolute coastal towns along Konkan will get light showers  or little rains. Towns along the interior of the coast will get thunder showers upto 20-25 mms.

Mumbai: Hot on Monday at 35/36c, with East winds.
Tuesday will be partly cloudy and thundery developments in the East. Light rains likely on Wednesday. ( Upto 5 mms). Rise in night temperatures after Tuesday.

Panvel and other Outer Townships in the East of Mumbai will get a hot Monday, with thundery developments on Tuesday and Wednesday. Light rains with lightning on Tuesday night and Wednesday. Wednesday and Thursday will be cloudy with some showers or thunder showers.

Pune: Warm on Monday. Thunder showers expected on Tuesday and Wednesday. Accumulated 2 days of rain could be 20 mms. 

Bangalore: Partly cloudy with light rains in some parts. Rainfall increasing on Wednesday/Thursday to heavier showers.
Hyderabad: cloudy skies. Light showers likely on Monday and Tuesday. Rains decreasing after Tuesday.
Delhi NCR (and Northern Plains): Dry and getting colder. Temperatures falling, with nights getting colder by 3/4c after 12th.

WML gives 2nd day of rains in Andhra Pradesh, ending 8.30 am on 10.11.2014

The well­marked low pressure area over westcentral Bay of Bengal and adjoining coastal areas of Andhra Pradesh has become less marked. However,  upper air cyclonic circulation lies over south Andhra Pradesh & adjoining westcentral Bay of Bengal and extends upto lower tropospheric level.

in mm (min 25 mm)

Gonavaram - 76
Kambalapadu - 55
Deebaguntla - 49
Atchutapuratrayam - 40
Narmalapadu - 39
Karapa - 38
Velanka - 38
Sivala - 37
Kothapalli - 36
Jagadurthi - 36
Nagalapalle - 36
Gokavaram - 34
Porumamilla - 34
Kakkinada - 32
Nandyal - 32
Sri Avadhutha Kasinayana - 32
Polavaram - 32
Ravinuthala - 31
Gulladurthi - 30
Pithapuram - 30
Peddapuram - 29
Biccavolu River - 29
Donthamuru - 28
Rayabhuplapatnam - 28
Nandavaram - 28
Ainavalli - 28
Rangampeta - 27
Devanakonda - 27
Krishnagiri - 27
Koppunuru - 27
Peddapuram - 27
Yerragondapalem - 26
Mukkamula - 26
Yeddanapudi - 26
Krishnavaram - 26
Mummidivaram - 26
Kodumuru - 25
Peddapuram - 25
Chelluru - 25
Allagadda - 25
Nandarada - 25
 

Telangana gets un-expected moderate rains from the WML, ending 8.30 am on 10.11.2014

The well­marked low pressure area over westcentral Bay of Bengal and adjoining coastal areas of Andhra Pradesh has become less marked. However,  upper air cyclonic circulation lies over south Andhra Pradesh & adjoining westcentral Bay of Bengal and extends upto lower tropospheric level.

in mm (min 15 mm)

Veljala - 44
Makaloor - 29
Mahabubnagar - 29
Ankampalem - 27
Remaddula - 26
Aswaraopetta - 25
Peddamudnur - 25
Mulakalpalle - 25
Wanarapathy - 25
Makathal - 25
Kodandapur - 24
Nagar Kurnool- 24
Nizamabad - 22
Madanpalle - 20
Gopalpeta - 20
Kethepalle - 19
Kangal - 19
Malkaram - 19
Veldanda - 19
Doulatabad - 19
Utkoor - 18
Manganoor - 18
Dharpalle - 17
Bhardachalam - 17
Gangaram - 16
Tekumatla - 16
Koratpalle - 16
Kistampalle - 15
Bapanmodu Thanda - 15
Narva - 15
Gundamal - 15
Dhar Palle - 15
Suryapet - 15
Nizam Sagar - 15
Sarvapur - 15
Amangal - 15
Bollaram Patti - 15

WML builds up clouding and gives moderate rains to AP, ending 8.30 am on 09.11.2014

The well marked low pressure area over west-central Bay of Bengal now lies over west-central Bay of Bengal and adjoining coastal areas of Andhra Pradesh. Associated cyclonic circulation extends upto 3.1 kms a.s.l

in mm (min 15 mm)

Katepalli - 54
Ananthasagaram - 41
Chakalakonda - 41
Sullurpet - 34
Kaluvoya - 33
Vetapalem - 33
Pakala - 31
Porumamilla - 31
Dakkali - 28
Gottigundala - 27
Bommavaram - 26
Singarayakonda - 26
Karedu - 25
Chirala - 25
Payalakuntla - 24
Vinjamur - 24
Bapatala - 24
Somasila - 21
Ongole - 21
Chouta Bheemavaram - 20
Totigari palli - 20
Kondapuram - 20
Tada - 20
Zarugumilli - 19
Karlapalem - 19
Bogole - 18
Dubagunta - 18
Kavali - 18
Moksha Gundam - 17
Pothegunta - 17
Podlakur - 16
Kaligir - 16
Zarugumilli - 16
Ganapavaram - 15
Yerrabalem - 15
Torragudipadu - 15
Kothapatnam - 15

Saturday Night:

As expected, BB-13 is fizzling out off the AP coast. Will bring rains as mentioned to Coastal AP regions between Prakasam and Nellore.
( we can recall, Vagaries had estimated the System never to strengthen, but dissipate over the sea. It was expected to move North and then NE and dissipate in the Central Bay region. contrary to that, it moved W/NW).

BB-14 is moving into the Andaman Sea on 10th...I see something for TN in this...expecting the system to move towards TN and reach as a depression...depressions are preferable for good rainfall !!

A Line of Wind Discontinuity may form in the interior of the Konkan and Karnataka coast...and get a Low embedded in the LWD. Low may be in the Southern Mah/Northern Interior Karnataka region, forming on the 11th of November.

On 11th and 12th November, Showers likely in Interior Karnataka and Interior Mah regions of Madhya Mah, Marathwada, Vidharbha and Interior Konkan. Thundery developments in Konkan and Madhya Mah.  Details on Sunday Night.

Polar Vortex Returns ...Cold Wave To Grip Eastern U.S....on International Page

Rains in Muscat on Saturday as Forecasted...see Video here and here


Bering Sea In Crosshairs of Monster Storm..See International Page for More on this Massive Storm...

Friday 7th Night:

BB-13....Now a depression located at 14N and 87E with estimated core pressure at 1004 mb and estimated winds at 25-30 knts, is likely to further weaken. System will track W/NW and remain as a WML till it reaches the AP coast. Likely to cross AP coast  by the 9th. Rainfall likely on 9th in Prakasam and Nellore regons of AP.

Chennai likely to get light showers on Saturday evening and Sunday 9th...rise in night temperatures to 24/25c..

BB-14 enters the Andaman Sea on the 9th...and starts intensifying immediately. 

N-2 is precipitating good rains in Northern Pakistan. Lahore City recorded 28 mms ( 14 mms in the day again) and AP 20 mms, Murree 18 mms, Faisalabad 13 mms and Islamabad 9 mms on overnight Friday.
Pics and details in Vagaries Pakistan Edition.

Saturday will see good precipitation in Kashmir and HP. The WD is likely to move away North Eastwards by Sunday.

Saturday 8th and Sunday 9th Forecast:

Mumbai: . Friday was 32.7c at Colaba and minimum at SCruz was 20.2c..the slight fall seen. Warm and sunny days around 32c. Nights pleasant at 20c.
Pune: Weekend will be clear with days around 31/32c. Nights will be nippy and cool at 14/15c.

Delhi NCR: Clear skies. Saturday and Sunday will be maximum at 30/31c. Nights will be above normal at 16c. 
Kolkata: Some rains expected in some parts of Kolkata on Sunday.

Kathmandu: Remains warm this weekend. Dry and sunny, Temperatures will be above normal in the 25-12c range. 


Muscat can expect some light showers on Saturday and Sunday. A trough dips into Oman, and can bring cool weather and light rains in Muscat. Days will be around 26c.

Mumbai Temperature performace in 2014...October Hotter than May !!..See Rohit's Page for Chart

Tuesday Night: (Numbering error of Systems from Bay corrected...Erroneously numbered and Vagaries regrets the error)

BB-13, a Low, has formed in the Bay located at 12N and 88.5E, at estimated at 1006 mb. The outer isobars are circling the Low, and hence winds at sea level and 850 mb levels are circular in a uniform curvature. The Eastern and Western Quadrant winds are stronger (as isobars are closer), and are whipping up clouds on either side of the estimated centre.

BB-13 may deepen to a Well Marked Low by tomorrow ( Wednesday 5th), at 1004 mb and possibly a depression by Thursday at 1000/1002 mb. At this stage, it will be guided buy the lower winds and possibly the 700 mb level wind situation (shear/vorticity etc). Track could be Northwards initially and then NE.
This would would be detrimental for the Southern Indian region, and suck away most of the moisture from along the TN and AP coasts.

Chennai would be devoid of rains next 2/3 days with day temperatures around 34c.

BB-14 makes an entry into the Bay at 95E and 10N by 9th/10th November...

Western Disturbance N-2 is approaching the Sub Continent....and is expected over the North Pakistan regions by the 7th . 
It would be covering most Pakistan regions North of the Punjab. On the 8th, would slide into India as a cold front, and would bring precipitation with thunder in the Northern Kashmir and HP regions. 
Parts of Punjab and Haryana would get thunder showers.
Delhi NCR would not get rains. Temperatures may drop below 15c after 9th November.

Post 8th November:

Seeing the clear skies and colder air in the rear of the WD, we can expect a slight drop in day and night temperatures in the plains of NW India, With NW winds in the region, from 8th November, drop of 2/3c in the night temperatures in Punjab, Rajasthan, MP, Gujarat and Maharashtra. Places in Punjab may drop to 10c .

Mumbai : Relief after 9th November...Warm at 34/35c next few days. Nights around 21c, but may fall to 20c on 9th.
Pune also warm at 31/32c and nights dropping to 12/14c by 9th.

LIFE CYCLE VIDEO OF TROPICAL CYCLONE "NILOFAR"

Monday, 3rd November...Mumbai Santa Cruz shoots up to a high of 37.0c...almost near the all time high record for November which is 37.4c recorded on 4th November 1979. Colaba saw a high of 35.4c on Monday.
Hottest in India today was Bhuj at 38.0c. In Pakistan Nawabshah was also hottest at 38.0c.

Sunday (2nd November) Post ...N1 and BB-20....

The new Low in the Bay, BB-20, scheduled to form on 3rd November as mentioned in Vagaries and likely around the same predicted spot..West of The Andaman Islands.
Initially at 1008 mb, BB-20 will deepen very slowly, as it is just South of the Sub Tropical Ridge. The current STR is strong, and runs East-West upto the Arabian Peninsula. 

Initially for the next 3 days, Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday, it could be said that the BB-20 may not go below 1005 mb, hence even the system may not reach above a height upto 700 mb wind levels. Hence may just "loiter" around the Southern Bay for a few days. As the STR gets to dominate the region, we may see BB-20 trying to "scramble" towards the North after Thursday.
Since, the system is far from the coast, we may see a decrease in rainfall in TN . Rains may be scattered in coastal TN and Southern Kerala.

City Forecasts for Monday 3rd/Tuesday 4th and Wednesday 5th:
Meanwhile, Chennai will may get a thunder shower on Sunday night or Monday early..decrease after Monday evening.
Bangalore: Partly cloudy with temperatures in the 28-18c range.

Kolkata: Almost clear...with crisp N/NW winds by evening..Nights going down a bit to 19/20c.....

Mumbai will be sunny and warm...days around 35/36c and nights a shade better  at 21c....Sunday's Maximum was 35c.
Pune: Days will be around 31/32c. Nights will be nippy at 15/16c.

N-1, restricted to the upper levels, will not precipitate much in the Indian plains. On Monday, rain/snow will be precipitating in the Northern Hills of the Sub Continent, and Northern Pak Punjab. 
Islamabad can get showers and a cool day on Monday and Tuesday. 
But, the WD moves away by Wednesday, without precipitating in the Indian Plains. Will anticipate N-2 on the 9th.:-)

Delhi NCR will see hazy sunshine. Foggy on 4th Night/5th morning.