Cool and dry weather across Maharashtra.
Mumbai: Similar weather conditions as seen in this week, may get a little cool. Maximum temperature likely to be around 33C, min will be around 19C. Eastern outer townships in Thane/Raigad district may see minimum temperatures dropping till 14C-16C.
Pune: Days will continue to be pleasant around 29C, nights cooler around 12C. Outskirts of Pune city/suburbs may see minimum temperatures dropping to 9-10C by middle of next week.
Nashik: Pleasant days around 29C and nights a little colder around 10-11C. Rural areas can see minimum dropping to 7C-9C.
Marathwada and Vidarbha regions: Pleasant days around 29C and nights cooler around 13-14C in most districts.
Mahabaleshwar will also be cooler with nights around 12C, while Lonavala can be little warmer at 14C.
Gujarat: No major change in weather. Days will be warm around 30C, nights pleasant around 14C for Ahmedabad/Gandhinagar, Vadodara and Saurashtra. Surat region will be little warmer with max 32C and min around 19C.
A new low pressure area BB-17 has formed in the eastern Indian Ocean/south Bay of Bengal region. It will intensify slowly as it tracks west/northwest. It may bring some rains to Tamil Nadu and Sri Lanka, but there is some uncertainty in its forecasted track.
2 comments:
Sir when will New Delhi ( Safdarjung) fall to 7/8°c
Credit Australian government Bureau of metereology
Issued Tuesday 26 November 2024
The latest Climate Driver Update and Climate Model Summary are now available on our website.
ENSO neutral, IOD tending negative
• The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) remains neutral, with sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the central equatorial Pacific Ocean at ENSO-neutral levels. Atmospheric indices, such as those related to patterns of surface pressure, cloud and trade winds, are broadly consistent with an ENSO-neutral state. While some have displayed La Niña-like signals over recent months, a consistent and sustained shift in the atmosphere has not been observed. Ocean temperatures in the central equatorial Pacific have started to warm in recent weeks, away from the La Niña threshold, although they are still cooler than the historical average.
• The Bureau's model suggests SSTs are likely to remain within the ENSO-neutral thresholds (−0.8 °C to +0.8 °C) throughout the forecast period to February 2025. Of the 6 other climate models surveyed, two models suggest SSTs in the tropical Pacific are likely to exceed the La Niña threshold (below −0.8 °C) throughout December to February, which is sufficient time to be classified as a La Niña event, though this would be considered a very short-lived event compared to the historical record. All models forecast neutral ENSO values by March.
• The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) index has been below the negative IOD threshold (−0.40 °C) since mid-October. If the IOD index remains below the threshold for another week, it would indicate a negative IOD event is underway. However, all but one of the surveyed climate models indicate that the IOD index is expected to return to neutral levels in December, in line with the typical IOD event lifecycle.
• Global SSTs remain at near record levels as at 24 November, with temperatures since July falling just short of the record temperatures observed during 2023, yet above all other years since observations began in 1854. The sustained nature of this significant global ocean heat suggests that climate indicators such as ENSO and IOD may not behave or evolve as they have in the past.
• The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) index is neutral as at 22 November, having been positive for most of November. It is forecast to become positive again in the coming fortnight. SAM is also forecast to have a greater than usual chance of being in the positive phase during December.
• A moderate to strong pulse of the Madden–Julian Oscillation (MJO) is currently located in the Indian Ocean (as at 22 November). Most models indicate the MJO will shift eastwards over the coming fortnight and weaken in early December as it moves across the Maritime Continent.
• Read the full report on our website. It includes the latest updates on climate drivers in the Pacific, Indian and Southern oceans, and the tropics.
More information
Media liaison(03) 9669 4057 Technical enquirieshelpdesk.climate@bom.gov.au
Next update expected by 10 December 2024
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