Saturday, December 02, 2023

Third cyclone of the season in Bay of Bengal

 A cyclone will form in the Bay of Bengal by the night of 2 Dec/morning of 3 dec.

This will be the third cyclone of the post-monsoon season in the Bay of Bengal.

For the 1st time after 2018, all the three months (Oct, Nov and Dec) of the post-monsoon season will have a cyclone in the Bay of Bengal.

Multi-model ensemble indicates that due to close proximity with land, this system can maximum intensify up to 90-95kmph. 

Due to weak steering the system is currently moving at a very low speed.

This system likley to hit central Andhra coast on 5 December with winds close to 90kmph.

SST in the south Bay of Bengal continue to remain 1-2C above normal.

Currently, the system is in a low wind-shear environment. However, from 4 December onwards high wind shear is likely to affect the system which will restrict the intensification of this system.

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