Tuesday, October 12, 2021

 Outlook for Gujarat & NEM 2021 Below:

Posted Tuesday 12th Night:

(Heavy Rain Pre Informed in Snippet )


Bengaluru Kempegowda International Airport recorded highest rainfall of 178.3 mm on today, the 12th Oct 2021 surpassing the previous all time record of 86.4 mm which was recorded on 27th May 2017. 0830 

 As on 12th Morning, Southwest monsoon was vigorous over South Interior Karnataka and active over Coastal Karnataka. 

Heavy rainfall amounts (in cm)

Bengaluru KIAL 18; 

Bargur, Sira (both Tumakuru dt) 12 each : 

Madhugiri, Bukkapatna (both Tumakuru dt) 9 each; 

Nippani (Belgavi dt), Annigeri (Dharwad dt), Kottigehara (Chikkamagaluru dt), Hoskote (Bengaluru Rural dt), Channagiri (Davangere dt), Pavagada (Tumakuru dt) 7 each. 

On Tuesday 12th , heavy rainfall till 6.30 pm...Honavar 180 mms, Udupi & Mangalore 77 mms.


As on 12th Morning, Southwest monsoon has been vigorous over Kerala.  Extremely heavy rainfall reports in cm are: Karipur AP (Malappuram district) 25, 

Mannarkkad (Palakkad district) 24, 

Kozhikode 22. 

Anakayam ARG (Malappuram district) 19, 

Quilandi & Vadakara (both in Kozhikode district) 18 each, 

Kannur, Pattambi (Palakkad district) & Peringalkuthu AWS (Thrissur district) 17 each, 

Mahe (Puducherry UT) 15, 

Punalur (Kollam district) & Thalassery (Kannur district) 14 each, 

Vadakkancherry (Thrissur district), Parambikulam (Palakkad district) & Keerampara ARG (Ernakulam district) 13 each, 

Thodupuzha ARG (Idukki district) & Mattannur ARG (Kannur district) 12 each, 

Thodupuzha (Idukki district), Thrithala (Palakkad district), Angadipuram & Nilambur (both in Malappuram district), Vellarikkundu AWS (Kasaragod district), Vynthala ARG (Thrissur district) & Cheruthazham ARG (Kannur district) 11 each, 

Perinthalamanna (Malappuram district) & Thenmala ARG (Kollam district) 10 each, 

Monsoon withdrawal for Gujarat on schedule as indicated yesterday
Lingering (last few days) in Southern Gujarat & Saurashtra. Will withdraw on 14th as discussed yesterday.

14 મીએ ગુજરાત માટે ચોમાસુ પાછું ખેંચશે.
 ચોમાસાના દક્ષિણ ગુજરાત અને સૌરાષ્ટ્ર માટે છેલ્લા 2 દિવસ. ગઇકાલે ચર્ચા મુજબ 14 મીએ પાછી ખેંચી લેશે.

Outlook for NEM 2021:

With the possibility of low BB-15 developing in Bay of Bengal and remaining at North AP/Odisha latitude, lower winds will continue to be mostly westerlies/South Westerly over Southern Bay for another week. 
No signs of winds changing to easterlies for Tamil Nadu coast before 21st October. 
NEM onset likely towards the 3rd week of October.
NEM write up assisted by Vag, Shreyas.

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