The monsoon seems determined to move out early, at least it has started from the Rajasthan region after leaving the sindh areas. The IMD 925hp. streamlines show distinct north-westerlies over the Rajasthan area and a "westerly disturbance" trough over Pakistan. Indications of clear "drying up" of the region is seen in the IMD humidity map showing a reduction in the humidity over Rajasthan. The state has not had any rain for the last 7 days now, supporting a widhrawal.
A line of wind discontinuity has formed over central India, (seen in the map above) caused by the north-westerly/south westerly winds, which may bring down the monsoon axis faster.
As anticipated, the day temperatures have started rising in Rajasthan/Gujarat, and I expect them to rise by the 2nd. week to 40c levels. ities in Sindh may see the days go upto 42c !
Northern Gulf regions have seen a sudden spurt in day temperatures, with Mutrba in Kuwait at 51c, and Dubai regions around 40/41c. Expect the heat to wane away after a week, with the westerly winds expected to gain by then.
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