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Friday, October 11, 2024

11th Night Post:

The Well Marked Low ( AS- 3) in the Arabian Sea is keeping the Monsoon " alive" in Maharashtra and rest of Peninsula India.

Now, AS-3 is expected to move away Westwards. But, we have another Low ( BB-14) in the Bay surfacing by 14th October.

BB-14 is expected to strengthen into a Deep Depression and strike T.N. with heavy rains.

Subsequently, as the system is strong, it will cross South India and re emerge in the Arabian Sea as a Low around date 17th/18th. So, effective thunder showers will continue till 19th in Maharashtra, Goa and Mumbai.

Mumbai and Pune will continue to receive a the evening " retreating" thundershowers till 19th/20th October. Intensity may decrease, and showers quantum may vary daily and on a few days will be localised.

Sambhajinagar (Aurangabad) will get thundershowers on few days till 20th October.

Gujarat: Rains/thundershowers continuing for another 3-4 days.

Saurashtra, Bharuch and Ahmedabad regions can get rain till about 14th October.

South Gujarat areas of Navsari, Valsad, Surat can get rain/thundershowers till 15th October.

Weather after 15th depends on the track of the new low from Bay of Bengal.