Outlook for Weekend 21st - 24th November.

Friday 21st through Monday 24th

For Mumbai & Pune:

The pleasant weather giving way to higher temperatures...as dry NE winds will dominate with lower humidity averaging 45-50%.

Mumbai: Temperatures warmer in the 34/35°c ( Day) & 20/21°c (Night).

Pune: Warmer at 32°c (Day) and 14/15°c (Night).

Sambhajinagar: 31°c( Day) & 14°c(Night).

Nagpur: Constant temperatures in the 29°c( Day) and 12°c(Night).

 

19th November 

MIN MAX TEMPs 24 HOURS ENDING 08 30 AM 19.11.2025

BORIVALI. 21.2 ° - 31.0 ° 

BADLAPUR. 15.5 ° - 31.0 °

DEONAR. 18.5 ° - 33.0 °

THANE. 20.6 ° - 31.3 °

Scz 16.2c.. Lowest of the season

Colaba 21.6c

W.S.Club 20.3c

Dehu Road minimum temperature: 9.7°C

Pashan, Pune :9.3°C

Bibwewadi,Pune: 11°C

Ahilyanagar: 8.5°C

Pune IMD: 9.5°C

Nashik IMD: 9.7°C

Chhatrapati Sambhajinagar: 10.5c

Indore: 6.9°C

 18th Post

18th Morning Temperatures 

Scz IMD ..17.4c.. Lowest of season.

Colaba: 21.5c

W.S.Club: 20.1c

Pune IMD: 9.4°C

Bibwewadi: 11.5°C..Lowest of the season.

Khed Shivapur, Pune: 8.5°C

Kapurhol, Pune: 7.5°C.

Mahabaleshwar  10.0c

Gudhe, Satara: 7.3°C

Patryachiwadi, Kolhapur: 8.1°C: 

Nashik IMD: 9.2°C

Chhatrapati Sambhajinagar: 10.6°C

 Ahilyanagar: 8.4°C

Adhale Kh, Pune: 7°C

Pimpalgaon Basavant (Niphad Nashik) 6.2°C

New Delhi: 9.6°C

Rohtak: 9.6°,  

Indore: 7.7°C

Bhopal: 8.2°C

#Ghat top & plains Min on 18-11-25

#Mahabaleshwar 10°C

#Amboli 11.6

#Lonavala 11.9

#Karjat 12.3

#Badlapur 12.4

#Sawarde 12.6

#Dapoli 12.7

#Awalegaon 12.8

#Manor 13

#Nagothane 13.5

#Chiplun 13.6

#Kalyan & #Panvel 14.4

#Kudal 14.5

#Dombivli 15

#Uttan 15.2

#Vengurla 15.3

#Virar 15.4

#Dahanu 15.8

#Thane & #NaviMumbai 15.9

#Matheran 16.5

#Mumbai SCZ 17.4

#Ratnagiri & #Devgad 18.1

Compiled by Vagarians Abhishek,Abhijit &Shitij.

17th November Temperatures 

 Delhi safdarjung: 8.7c, lowest of the season

 Pune shivajinagar: 10.2c, Pashan: 9.8c lowest of season

 Indore: 7.2c (7.1c below normal)

 Bhopal: 5.2c (-9.2c below normal) Bhopal break the all time record of lowest minimum temperature for the month of november..6.1°c in 1941 

Courtesy Vineet 

Bubhaneshwar: 12.9c

1Coldest November in last 25 years

 G.Udayagiri,Odisha-5.4 c

Courtesy Mitan

 16th November

AQI.. Air Quality Index.. World Rankings 

And Mumbai 👇

Delhi... 👇

 

Maharashtra minimum temperatures on 16/11/2025 in °C:

1. Kapurhol, Pune: 7.8

2. Machutar, Mahabaleshwar: 7.9

3. Varvandi, Nashik: 8

4. Ichalkaranji, Kolhapur: 8.4

5. Panhala, Kolhapur: 8.6

6. Jalgaon IMD: 8.7

7. Mulshi, Pune: 8.8

8. Gudhe, Satara: 8.9

9. Shirdi, Ahilyanagar: 9

10. Panchgani, Satara: 9.1

11. Bhivri, Pune: 9.2

12. Chandgad, Kolhapur: 9.3°C

13. Paithan, Chhatrapati Sambhajinagar: 9.4

14. Ahilyanagar: 9.5

15. Patrayachiwadi, Kolhapur: 9.6

16. Rahimatpur, Satara & Malin, Pune : 9.7°C

17. Gondavale, Satara: 9.8

18. Pimpalwandi, Junnar: 9.9°C

19. Malavali, Pune: 10

20. Nashik IMD: 10.3

21. Gondia: 10.6

22. Yavatmal: 10.8

23. Pune IMD: 11.2

24. Parbhani: 11.7

25. Satara & Nagpur: 12

Compiled by Vagarian AbhishekApte 

14th November 

Cold Conditions as seen below👇

And no rains last week 👇

 12th November:

Last 3 Nights Cold Wave in West M.P.

Outlook for 13th -17th November:

Maharashtra, Gujarat, M.P... Dry.

Maximum- Minimum Temperatures 

Mumbai: Low humidity.

13th-15th: 31°- 19°

16th-17th: 18° ( 4°below normal)

Pune: Less humidity..cool nights

13th-15th: 30°-13°

16th-17th:30°-11° ( 4°below normal).

Mahabaleshwar: Sunny but cold in the nights:

13th-17th: 27°-12°( 3°below normal).

Surat/Bharuch: Cool nights.

13th-17th :31°-16°.

All India on 12th:

Hottest:

Coldest:

Deaths from Extreme Weather are Rapidly Declining...

 

Deaths from Extreme Weather are Rapidly Declining...

See Climatology Data Page on Vagaries.

10th November  Minimum temperatures:

Futher gradual drop in temp today:

Min on 10-11-25

Jalgaon 9.5

Nasik 10.8°c

#Amboli 11°

#Lonavala 11.6

Sambhajinagar 11.8

#Mahabaleshwar 12.3

#Nagothane 14.4

#Badlapur 14.8

#Karjat 15

#Matheran 15.4

#Dapoli 15.6

#Awalegaon 15.8

#Manor 16.6

#Sawarde 16.7

#Kalyan & #Panvel 16.8

#Virar & #Kudal 17

#Kosbad 17.4

#Uttan 17.5

#Thane & #NaviMumbai 17.7

#Vengurla 17.8

#Dahanu 18.2

#Mumbai SCZ 19

#Ratnagiri 19

Mumbai W.S.CLUB 20.8

Mumbai Colaba 22

Chandgad, Kolhapur: 10.1°C

 Rahimatpur, Satara: 11.1°C

Pashan, Pune IMD: 12.9°C

Delhi safdarjung: 10.4c, lowest of season

Srinagar: -0.1c, 1st below 0c temperature of season

Meerut: 10.5c, lowest of season

Jewar airport Noida AWS: 11.8c

Compiled by Vagarian Team: Abhijit Modak, AbhishekApte, Pavan,Vineetkumar.

9th November 6.30pm IST temperatures 

V/S

9th November:

Scz IMD 19.6°c. First sub 20°c of season

Colaba 22.4°c

W.S.Club 21.0°c

Badlapur 16.5c

Pune.14.3°c

Ahilyanagar: 12.5°C

Sambhajinagar 12.8°c

Mahabaleshwar 12.8°c

Jalgaon 10.5°c

Jeur 10°c

Lohegaon , Pune Imd 17.6c

Pashan, Pune IMD: 14°C

New Delhi Safdarjung 11.6°c

Indore: 7c, this is lowest minimum temperature recorded there in November since 1975:

Jabalpur: 9.8c, 6.4c below normal

Rewa: 9.9c, 5.3c below normal

Sagar: 11.5c, 6c below normal

Ujjain:10.5c, 4.3c below normal

8th Evening Humidity Drop..

8th Morning..Rains gone, temperatures dropping!

Jalgaon: 10.8c

Nashik: 13.4c

Chhatrapati Sambhajinagar: 14.2c

Ahilyanagar: 14.6c

Mahabaleshwar 13.2c

Mumbai Colaba 23.5c, Scruz 21.2

W.S.Club 22.0c

Pune: 15.9c..Pune Shivajinagar: 15.9c, lowest temperature of season till date.

Indore 7.6° C

Delhi Safdarjung: 11c, 3c below normal & lowest temperature of the season till date.

Jewar airport, Noida: 11.9c

Bhatinda 7.2c

 

A historic, December-like cold wave is forecast to impact the eastern US

See World Weather News Page

The Weekend Outlook:( 7th/8th/9th/10th).

Day/Night Temperature Range.

Dry Sunny Weather in Maharashtra and Gujarat.🌞

Mumbai:🌞

7th:  31°- 21°

8th/9th: 31°- 20°

10th: 31° - 19°

Pune: 🌞

7th/8th: 29°- 17°

9th/10th: 29°- 15°

Mahabaleshwar: 🌞

7th/8th/9th: 25°- 13°

Lonavala: 

7th/8th/9th: 27°- 15°

New Delhi:🌞

7th/8th: 27°- 13°

9th/10th: 25°- 11°

----------------------------------

Hottest in India on 6th: 

Madurai: 37.4°

 4th November .....Night Post

We have ( in all probility) seen the end of the prolonged rainy season for Mumbai and Interior Maharshtra...(by 5th as posted on 2nd Nov)

Mumbai/Pune: Drier weather from 5th, and night temperatures can drop by 3/4°C from this weekend.😁

But not before sprinkling light rains in parts of Mumbai on 4th...See Chart👇  

Annual in 2025 as on date:  2978 mms (117") in Colaba and 3597 mms ( 141") in Santacruz,Pune 1174 mms (46") and in Panaji 3682 mms (144") and Ratnagiri saw 4218 mms (166")...Figures of 2025 till date.

Mumbai Rainfall map of 4th ...Green marks indicate upto 5 mms of rainfall 

Colaba IMD measured 4 mms.

The credit for the change of winds and end to rains goes to this Western disturbance👆

NW Winds along Konkan 

-----------------------

Snowfall Started from W.D.

3rd November details of Extreme Temperatures 

India: 

Hottest Day: Madurai: 37.6°c

Coldest Day : Leh 12.4°c

Coldest Night: Nubra( Ladakh): -1.6°c

Warmest Night : Nellore 28.2°c

Maharashtra:

Hottest: Amravati 34.2°c

Coldest: Mahabaleshwar:16.9°c

World Extremes 

 2nd November Image 👇

Mumbai: Unseasonal rains have extended into November, and constant support from a weak system has made this rainy season an extended one.

Due to prevailing SW winds, (Above Image) {and West Coast} Likely to get moderate rainfall upto 5th/6th November..

Rains will also continue in Madhya Maharastra  (Pune|Jalgaon), Marathwada (Aurangabad) till 5th\6th.November.

Rainfall as on 2nd Morning:

Kokan & Goa:Savarde-arg (dist Ratnagiri) 10, Ratnagiri - Imd Obsy (dist Ratnagiri) 8, Sawantwadi (dist Sindhudurg) 7, Sangameshwar Devrukh (dist Ratnagiri) 6, Chiplun (dist Ratnagiri) 6, Lanja (dist Ratnagiri) 5, Guhagarh (dist Ratnagiri) 4, Rameshwar_agri (dist Sindhudurg) 3, Harnai Imd Obsy (dist Ratnagiri) 3, Vaibhavwadi (dist Sindhudurg) 3, Devgad (dist Sindhudurg) 2, Wakwali_agri (dist Ratnagiri) 2, Dapoli_agri (dist Ratnagiri) 2, Kudal (dist Sindhudurg) 2, Ponda (dist North Goa) 2, Dodamarg (dist Sindhudurg) 2, Mandangad (dist Ratnagiri) 2, Rajapur (dist Ratnagiri) 2, Malvan (dist Sindhudurg) 2, Roha (dist Raigad) 2, Mulde - Aws (dist Sindhudurg) 2, Sudhagad Pali (dist Raigad) 2, 

Madhya Maharastra:Dahigaon - Fmo (dist Jalgaon) 9, Pachora (dist Jalgaon) 6, Gaganbawada (dist Kolhapur) 4, Yaval (dist Jalgaon) 3, Mahabaleshwar- Imd Obsy (dist Satara) 3, Jamkhed (dist Ahilyanagar) 3, Jamner (dist Jalgaon) 3, Akkalkuwa (dist Nandurbar) 2, 

Marathwada: Gangakhed (dist Parbhani) 1, Mantha (dist Jalna) 1, Khultabad (dist Chh. Sambhajinagar) 1, Soegaon (dist Chh. Sambhajinagar) 1, Gangapur (dist Chh. Sambhajinagar)

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Upcoming WD, although not that strong in terms of widespread rain/snow, will still bring decent precipitation to J&K, Ladakh and HP...parts of Punjab and higher ranges of Uttarakhand can also get rain/snow

Cold air behind this WD, will signal winter onset for Northern regions

Punjab/NCR min can go down below 13°C after 5th and maybe in single digits in open areas after 7th November.

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Negative IOD" refers to a negative phase of the {Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD)}, a climate pattern where the western Indian Ocean is cooler than average and the eastern Indian Ocean is warmer than average.

This -Ve iod also partially explains why Arabian Sea system not able to intensify to cyclone

IOD also can significantly impact winter temps across maharaahtra and needs detailed research.

Dr.Vineet Kumar

 31st October:

October 2025 Month's Rainfall:

Place /Oct25 /Normal  /

*Record   /2025 Annual (In mms) 

CLB.      168.    082.        

*507(1917).    2934

SCZ.       076.    091.       

*377(1998).    3566

PUNE     067.   105.       

 *440(1892).   1174

R'GIRI    260.    124.       

*439(1938).   4078

MWAR.  235.    140.       

*956(1938).   6925

Abd         104.    077       

*415(1990).    0919

PNJI.       459.    146.      

*391(2006).    3647

 30th October Night:

AS - 5: Our Vagarian Gaurav Raninga points out that this could possibly be the longest surviving (in days over Sea), if it enters its 11th day on 31st October.

We have the original post forecast as on 19th October 

Finally  after several permutations,  AS 5, tracks on a predicted path..  Current location 👇

Mumbai: Moderate to light showers to persist in Mumbai till 2nd November. 

Pune/Sambhajinagar: Light Rains till 31st October.Nights getting cooler at 17°c.

Heavy rains expected from 31st October to 3rd November in Saurashtra and Gujarat Region including Bharuch. N

-----------------------------------------------------------

[ Old systems: 

Vagarian Shitij informs:In 1894 also a depression stayed for 10 days in Arabian sea (from 17th Oct to 26th Oct)

Recently,Depression - Cyclone, show 2021 cyclone as surviving for 7 days 

Original Vagaries post of 14th May] 2021.

 29th Night Post:

Night Position Of the Two systems:

Outlook: AS 5 likely to recurve from above position and proceed N/NE (red line). Likely to weaken from Depression to Well Marked Low, (around 1003 mb).

Rainfall likely in North Konkan, North Madhya Maharashtra and Gujarat Region, South Coastal Gujarat and Southern parts of Saurashtra till 2nd November.

Heavier rainfall in Gujarat Region (Baroda, Bharuch expect around 80 mms on 31st Oct and 1st Nov) expected later on 31st/1st.

Remanants of MONTHA pouring deluge rains in Telengana.( See Rainfall amounts below) Rainfall to move into Vidharbh and Marathwada. 

Mumbai: After a dry day on Wednessday 29th, Rains expected in the night and as the system moves N/NE, Mumbai can expect moderate rainfall to continue 30th Oct to 2nd Nov. Moderate to rather heavy rainfall in patches.

Days warm around 33/34°c. 

Pune: Expected light rains or drizzles for 2 more days, 30th/31st. Expected to clear after 1st with nights getting cooler.(around 17/18°c.

MONTHA remnant pouring deluge rains in Telengana...👇

 29th October...2.30 pm ..Locations 

 

8th Night Post:

AS-5 Position...almost stationary

Rainfall from AS 5 on 28th

Mumbai Malabar Hill 15 mms

Colaba 14 mms ,DWard 14 mms

Cyclone MONTHA