Co Authors: GSB, Shreyas Dhavale, Pradeep John, Dr. Vineet Singh, Gokul

Wednesday, December 31, 2025

 31st December: Sudden Rains in Saurashtra today....Dwarka recorded 1 cms till 5.30

Video from Vag. Gaurav

Pune December Night Temperatures Analysis:





Delhi SJung Details of December Nights👇:


Forecasts trending a bit cooler for Mumbai, north Konkan and north Madhya Maharashtra from 31st December to 2nd January!


Due to the Western Disturbance which has started affecting the Western Himalayas, cooler NNW winds expected for north Maharashtra and Gujarat.

Mumbai: Daytime can remain pleasant with chances of first below 30°C of the season on 31st Dec or 1st/2nd Jan. Nights turning cooler with min temperature likely dropping around or below 16°C. 
Some rural areas could see below 14°C in parts of Palghar and Thane districts. 

Nashik/Jalgaon/Dhule regions: Cooler winds can result in below 29°C max temperatures. Nights and early mornings likely to be cooler with min temperature around 7-8°C on 1st and 2nd Jan.


Pune: Due to daytime westerly winds, max temperature may rise to around 30-32°C. Nights could remain cooler around 9/10° 

Gujarat: Cooler nights in northern Gujarat (close to Rajasthan), with min temperature dropping to 6-8°C. 
Ahmedabad/Gandhinagar and Baroda regions could see max below 28°C on 1st and 2nd Jan and min dropping below 14°C. 
Surat/Bharuch areas will also see cooler max around or below 28°C and min around 14-15°C. 

Temperatures may rise again from/after 3rd January onwards. 

Monday, December 29, 2025

 29th: December:

Vagaries of the Weather:👇  


Leh: Minimum Temperature today (29/12): -7c...6c above Normal !

Srinagar: 3.0c....5.8c above Normal !

East Champaran (Bihar): Maximum Temperature (28/12) 13.8c...10.3c below Normal.

Varanasi: Maximum (28/12)13.5c.....9.2c Below Normal !

Kanpur: Maximum (28/12)14.3c....8.5c Below Normal !

Sunday, December 28, 2025

28th evening Post:

The Westerly Disturbance over the Kashmir Region will precipitate moderate rains and snow in Kashmir.

Weather will be dry over the rest of India.

Thick fog expected ( due to moisture influx, cloudless sky and low winds, over the Punjab, Haryana , Delhi, U.P. And Bihar States. 

(Ground fog in North India is predominantly radiation fog which forms during the winter months, primarily in the expansive Indo-Gangetic Plain. It is essentially a low-lying cloud at the surface.

The Himalayas act as a barrier, trapping the cold, dense air and fog within the plains, contributing to its persistence.) 


Image from Wifex (IITM & NCMRWF)

OUTLOOK FOR 29TH - 31ST DECEMBER:
Not expecting any large change in Maharashtra & Gujarat:

Mumbai: With hazy skies,the current Temperatures trend (call it pleasant or otherwise) will continue till 31st, Temperature range will be between 31/32° in the day and 17/18° at night. A mild breeze will keep Air Quality Levels within the 135-150 (Moderate) levels.

Pune: Status quo in the weather Temperatures with the day /night range between 29/31 and 10/12° range. But still and calm evenings can keep the AQI level a bit uncomfortable at 160-190 levels.

Mahabaleshwar: Clear skies, chilly nights. Range between day and night will be 27° and 13/14°.

Jalgaon/ Sambhajinagar: Not much change and both these places will get a constant range of 29/30° and 13/14° Diurnal variation.

Surat/Bharuch: Not much change, Moderate cool nights and warmish day at 32° and lows at 19°. 
Rajkot can be better in the nights at 15° and days at 31/32°.

Delhi NCR: Cold foggy days till 30th with day restricted to 23° and nights around 7/8°. Getting cloudy by 31st and light drizzle on 31st December/1st January.



Significant below normal cyclone activity on north indian Ocean for two consecutive years

 For the first time in the satellite era, for two consecutive years, the yearly accumulated cyclone energy (ACE) in the North Indian Ocean (NIO) has not crossed 10 units, indicating weak cyclones for 2 years in a row. See attached timeseries of ACE from 1982-2025. Data: Jtwc

For the first time after 2011-2012, two consecutive years (2024-2025) have not seen a major cyclone (winds >100 knots) in the north Indian Ocean. Data: JTWC


 28th Afternoon Fog Envelopes U.P.

Temperatures at 9.15 UTC



Saturday, December 27, 2025

 NORTH INDIAN OCEAN CYCLONE ACTIVITY..2025

Vineetkumar's Analysis on Extreme Events Page in Extreme Blog. 

Wednesday, December 24, 2025

 24th December:

Sub Tropical westerly Jetstream with core winds at 230 kmph sweeping across North India at 200 hpa level.


Outlook for 25th - 29th December:

Dry weather except moderate rains in T.N. and J&K.

Mumbai: 25th - 28th: sunny with high clouds. Pic by Salil

(Cirrus): Days warmish around 32c and Nights around 19c.

Pune: getting warmer by 27th. Days around 31/32c and nights at 10/11c.

Jalgaon; sunny with temperature range between 29c and 11c.

Mahabaleshwar: day will be warm in the sun at 26c and nights pleasant at 13/14c.

Surat/Bharuch: Warm day at 33c and Nights at 19c.

Delhi: Nights getting colder to 6/7c while day will be cold at 22c.

Temperature Outlook Map for the Period:👇




Tuesday, December 23, 2025

Monday, December 22, 2025

 


22nd Morning...North India Enveloped in Fog...keep check on today's Day temperatures


 

Saturday, December 20, 2025

 20th December...

Most of U.P. Days below normal




 Delhi Safdarjung max. Temp: 16.9c (5c below normal)

Dehradun max temp: 12.3c (9.5c below normal)

 Yesterday Indore: 4.1c was the 2nd lowest minimum temperature recorded there in December after 1990

Friday, December 19, 2025

Outlook for the weekend 19th - 22nd December:...

Mumbai: Clear hazy sky with east winds in the day resulting in around 32/33c.Nights steady around 16/17c. .

Pune: constant hazy skies with days at 30c and night at 9/10c.

Jalgaon: Sunny skies and windy day...with temperature range between 29c and 11c.

Ahilyanagar: Sunny skies and east winds in day. Temperatures ranging between 29c and 10c.

Panaji: Nice weather for beach, with days at 32c and night a moderate 21c.

Mahabaleshwar: Pleasant day at 26c and nights at 14c.

Surat/Bharuch : ranging between 32c and 16/17c...slightly cooler on 20th/21st.

Delhi NCR: Foggy weather. maximum Temperature 21/22c and minimum 8/10c.





 19th December..Satellite Image of Morning Fog


Thursday, December 18, 2025

Tuesday, December 16, 2025

What to expect on 17th December in Central and South Peninsula..Day warmth:


 

Polar Vortex blankets eastern US with dangerous arctic air as nearly two dozen states feel extreme blast

December 16th 2025:

Pune records its coldest 1st half of December in a decade with avg. Minimum temperature 10.66c

Pune records its coldest first half of December in a decade.

Yearwise Average minimum temperatures (1–15 Dec) 

2014: 13.75

2015: 15.37

2016: 12.24

2017: 15.76

2018: 13.5

2019: 16.93

2020: 15.17

2021: 15.77

2022: 15.17

2023: 15.82

2024: 15.53

2025: 10.66

For the 1st time in last 11 years, Pune saw 7 consecutive days with single digit minimum temperature in december

Compiled by Vag Vineet 

Sunday, December 14, 2025

14th December: Details of Weather:

Rain: Dry except in Andaman Islands...Port Blair 45 mms.


Days/Night Temperature: 


Hottest Day: Karwar 36°


Coldest Day: Leh at 7.5°

Nights:

Coldest: Leh: -7.5°

Warmest: Kumarakom ( Kerala) : 24.8°

Outlook for 15th Monday- 18th Thursday:

Mumbai: Winds becoming Easterly and hence warming Days to 34/35°, while keeping Nights steady at 19/20°.

Pune: Again more warming to 32/33° in the day and a gentle push to 11/13° at night.

Jalgaon (on demand):Getting slightly warmer to 31° in the day and 12° at night. 

Surat/Bharuch: Warmer Day at 34/35° and nights at 15/16°.

Friday, December 12, 2025

 12th December..Air Quality Index better in Mumbai...Relief for the worried types ...The improvement seen on 12th Morning 👇






Thursday, December 11, 2025

11th December Minimum 

Maharashtra:

Mumbai Colaba: 20.9°C

Mumbai Santacruz:15.6°C

Mumbai:WSC: 17.0°C

Mahabaleshwar:11.1°c

Lonavala:11.9°

Virat: °14

Matheran:17.4°c

(Compiled by Vag.Abhishek)

Odisha

Koraput: 2.9°c ( from Vag. Mitan)


‐------------------------------------------

1. Ahilyanagar: 6.6°C

2. Pune: 7.9°C

3. Gondia: 8°C

4. Nagpur: 8.1°C

5. Nashik: 8.2°C

6. Malegaon: 8.8°C

7. Wardha: 9.9°C

8. Satara, Akola & Yavatmal: 10°C

9. Amravati: 10.2°C

10. Parbhani: 10.4°C

11. Chhatrapati Sambhajinagar & Chandrapur: 10.8°C

12. Jalgaon: 7°C

------------------------------------------

RURAL AWS:

1. Shirdi, Ahilyanagar: 5.9°C

2. Niphad, Nashik: 6.1°C

3. Paithan, Chhatrapati Sambhajinagar: 6.5°C

4. Gudhe, Satara: 6.6°C

5. Nighoj, Ahilyanagar: 6.9°C

6. Chitegaon, Chhatrapati Sambhajinagar: 7°C

7. Pimpalwandi, Pune & Lakhpuri, Akola: 7.2°C

8. Ashti, Mohol: 7.3°C

9. Rosa, Dharashiv: 7.4°C

10. Balapur, Dhule: 7.5°C

11. Umbre Kasurdi, Pune: 7.6

12. Kupti, Yavatmal& Barhanpur, Baramati: 7.7°C

13. Beli, Jalgaon: 7.9°C

14. Pauni, Bhandara: 8°C

15. Kapurhol, Pune &Kavathe Ekand, Sangli: 8.3°C

16. Dehu Road, Pune & Bhigwan, Pune: 8.4°C

17. Sarud, Kolhapur: 8.5°C

18. Nimgaon Gangurde, Ahilyanagar & Nazare, Pune: 8.6°C

19. Paragaon, Pune & Bhiunj, Satara: 8.7°C

20. Mahur, Nanded: 9°C

21. Rahimatpur, Satara & Shikrapur, Pune: 9.1°C

22. Wangi, Sangli: 9.3°C

23. Takli Barur, Solapur: 9.5°C

24. Mhaisal, Miraj: 9.7°C

Wednesday, December 10, 2025

10th December details:




10th December morning

Mumbai Colaba: 20.7°

Mumbai Santacruz: 16.7°

Mumbai WSC: 18.0°

Jeur 6.0°C


1. Warkhed, Ahilyanagar: 6.5°C

2. Kolawadi, Ahilyanagar: 6.8°C

3. Paithan, Chhatrapati Sambhajinagar: 7°C

4. Nighoj, Ahilyanagar: 7.4°C

5. Gudhe, Satara: 7.5°C

6. Shirdi, Ahilyanagar & Rosa, Dharashiv: 7.6°C

7. Ashti, Mohol: 7.7

8. Shevgaon, Ahilyanagar: 8°C

9. Pimpalwandi, Pune: 8.2°C

10. Nasrapur, Pune: 8.5°C

11. Chaskaman, Pune: 8.7°C

12. Bhigwan, Pune: 8.9°C

13. Bhor, Pune: 9°C

14. Umbre Kasurdi: 9.1°C

15. Dehu Road, Pune: 9.5°C

16. Bhiunj, Satara: 9.6°C

17. Rahimatpur, Satara: 9.7°C

 1. Ahilyanagar IMD: 7.5°C

2. Nashik IMD: 8.1°C

3. Pune IMD: 8.4°C

4. Chhatrapati Sambhajinagar IMD: 10.8°C

5. Satara IMD: 11.6°C

6. Kolhapur IMD: 14.6°C

Pashan, Pune IMD: 8.1°C

M.P. Towns 

Umeria 4.9°C

Indore: 5.4°C

Compiled by Vagarian Abhishek 

Punjab: Adampur:3.0°C



  9th January Morning  North Foggy South Rainy..DD Central Cold Wave