Sunday, March 12, 2017

Posted Sunday 12th Night:
Rising Summer temps pushed back by a week in Vidharbh:

1. On Wednesday 15th and Thursday 16th showers expected in all regions of Vidharbh (Akola/Nagpur), parts of adjoining Marathwada (Light rain in Aurangabad), Northern Telengana (Hyderabad) and adjoining Chattisgarh (Light rain in Raipur). Rain from confluence of air from South and stronger NE winds.

2. Mumbai: Temperature on Sunday was 31c and 17c. From Monday, Mumbai will see a rise in temperatures by 2/3c to 33/34c in the day and around 20c at night.
Pune, which saw 31c and 10c on Sunday, sees a rise of 2/3c from Monday.

New Delhi: Dry weather next week. The week will begin with temps around 27/28c in the day. Rising after a couple of days.


Below normal temps by 5 to 10 c over North and west India on Holi Day .
South India(TN /Kerala) is very warm .

Gulmarg (JK) @ -12 c , Keylong (HP)@ -9 c , Udaipur /Mount Abu (Raj) @ 6 c ,Ujjain (MP) @ 8 c

 1 .(Click and enlarge the map below)

2.Weather over Mumbai was dry and fine today .Humidity over the suburbs ranged between 10% to 25 % during noon.
The clear skies overlooking the Arabian sea (near Mumbai SCZ)

3.Frost was reported from Mahabaleshwar (Maharashtra) today morning
Frost on the windshield of a car near Venna lake (Pic courtesy :Shiraz Satarawalla)

Happy Holi to all Vagarians
Image result for  holi cartoons


Gaurav raninga said...

Ahmedabad recorded min 10.2C(9C below normal) today on 12 march 2017....breaks it's lowest min record of March month for atleast last 10 years and also just 0.8C short of its all time lowest min for the month of March.....

sset said...

Mumbai is cold since last 2-3 days.

Rohit Aroskar said...

Mumbai records one of its coolest dhulivandan mornings @ 15 c

Pavan said...

Happy Holi Sset...this Swm hope all your ararid areas get bountyful rain..including TN rayalseema and sik

NilaY Wankawala said...

Latest ENSO Wrap-Up issued 14 March 2017

The latest ENSO Wrap-Up, ENSO Outlook and Climate Model Summary are now available on the Bureau's website.

El Niño WATCH: six of eight models suggest El Niño by July

The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is neutral. However, model outlooks and recent warming in the Pacific Ocean mean there is an increased chance of El Niño forming later this year. The Bureau's ENSO Outlook is currently at El Niño WATCH, which means the likelihood of El Niño forming this year is around double the average chance at 50%.

Most atmospheric and oceanic indicators of ENSO are currently neutral. However, sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the eastern Pacific Ocean have warmed since the start of the year, and the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) has been trending downwards. While these are fairly typical changes in the lead up to El Niño, trade winds and cloudiness have not shown any significant shift away from neutral.

All eight international models surveyed by the Bureau show steady warming of the central tropical Pacific Ocean over the next six months. Six models suggest El Niño thresholds may be reached by July 2017. However, some caution must be taken, as models have lower accuracy when forecasting through the autumn months than at other times of the year.

El Niño is often, but not always, associated with below average winter–spring rainfall over eastern Australia and warmer than average winter–spring maximum temperatures over the southern half of Australia.

The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has little influence on Australia from December to April. Current outlooks suggest a neutral IOD is likely to remain at least through to the end of winter.

ENSO Outlook
Our ENSO Outlook provides
up-to-date information on the likelihood
of an El Niño or La Niña developing.

The status is El Niño WATCH.

Next update expected on 28 March 2017

NilaY Wankawala said...

Inadvertently the post misses out the credit- appologising error

credit Australian Government Bureau of Meterology In my earlier post

Unknown said...

Rained in South bangalore last night
This morning in extreme south had good rain .

sset said...

Yes Pavan - drought is so bad in southern India - el-nino is only hope 2015 was better than 2016.

  4th October  The subtropical ridge continues to extend further east from the Arabian peninsula towards most parts of North west and west c...