Co Authors: GSB, Shreyas Dhavale, Abhishek Apte, Dr. Vineet Singh

Saturday, May 16, 2020

17th morning 
Keeping watch on the dry air movement.. No problem yet 


Cyclone "Amphan" forms in Bay. 

Posted 16th Evening 7 pm
BB-1...Still at Deep Depression stage ans almost stationary at 10.8N and 86.33 E...996 mb...but with Estimated winds at 60-65 Kmph.....No Eye visible as on 16th evening.
Next Stage Cyclone Amphan...by Sunday Morning !
Track: Same as shown...

Posted 16th May ..Saturday 12.30 pm:

BB-1..A Deep Depression now, at 10.8N and 86.3E. Estimated pressure 998 mb and Estimated winds at 55 kmph.
Considering the same favourable conditions, like SST 31c/Upper Winds Divergence/MJO, system will intensify into Cyclone by as early as 17th May.."Amphan"

Track shown in image....towards West Bengal/Bangladesh.
Odisha and West Bengal and Bangladesh..Brace up for Strong winds and gusts to 80-90 kmph by Saturday evening.

See Below..TPW good now..↓.⇊. I only hope the dry winds do not encircle from West and South.




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Meanwhile the UAC over Maldives has weakened..with today's Rainfall: Kaadhedhoo 6.7 mms, Gan 2.6 mms, Kahdhoo 0.2 mms, Male: Trace.

Yesterday rains in Maldives were from the massive pull effect of BB-1, and winds confluence from NW and W.

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