tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31136724.post9045698791229528515..comments2024-03-28T22:32:17.248+05:30Comments on Vagaries of the Weather ©: Rajeshhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/08511057956916968156noreply@blogger.comBlogger9125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31136724.post-22957288425891386282018-07-04T09:51:08.965+05:302018-07-04T09:51:08.965+05:30Hello Rajesh sir what is the predction for Mumbai...Hello Rajesh sir what is the predction for Mumbai for tomorrow and weekend with Deepakhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05068222482163376844noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31136724.post-74860763792992734192018-07-03T16:59:47.942+05:302018-07-03T16:59:47.942+05:30Monsoon axis is in north still Mumbai/Konkan grabb...Monsoon axis is in north still Mumbai/Konkan grabbed 200mm of rain in 24hrs....Navi Mumbai torrential downpours since monday...ssethttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06630570720915417629noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31136724.post-83064276579978427742018-07-03T13:46:53.733+05:302018-07-03T13:46:53.733+05:30Heavy rain in mira rd since yesterday Heavy rain in mira rd since yesterday Khan Gazanfarhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06438324742708110574noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31136724.post-28697163816715843272018-07-03T11:11:18.920+05:302018-07-03T11:11:18.920+05:30Credit Australian government bureau of meteorology...Credit Australian government bureau of meteorology <br /><br />Issued 3 July 2018<br /> <br />The latest ENSO Wrap-Up and Climate Model Summary are now available on the Bureau's website.<br /> <br />ENSO neutral, but 50% chance of spring El Niño<br /> <br />ENSO Outlook<br />Our ENSO Outlook provides<br />up-to-date information on the likelihood of an El Niño or La Niña developing.<br /> <br />ENSO Outlook dial showing El Niño WATCH status<br />Current status: El Niño WATCH<br /><br />The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) remains neutral. However, climate model outlooks and recent warming in the tropical Pacific Ocean mean there is a greater than usual chance of El Niño forming later this year. The Bureau's ENSO Outlook is currently at El Niño WATCH, which means the likelihood of El Niño forming in 2018 is approximately 50%; double the normal chance.<br /> <br />Some ENSO indicators show signs of El Niño development. Sea surface temperatures in the central to eastern tropical Pacific Ocean remain neutral, but have been slowly warming since April. Waters beneath the surface are also warmer than average; a common precursor of El Niño. In the atmosphere, indicators such as the trade winds and Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) are neutral but show El Niño-like traits. That is, there are weaker than average trade winds in parts of the central Pacific, and the SOI is negative.<br /> <br />Most international climate models surveyed by the Bureau suggest more warming is likely for tropical Pacific sea surface temperatures. Five of eight models indicate this warming will reach El Niño levels in the southern hemisphere spring, while a sixth model falls just short.<br /> <br />During El Niño, rainfall in eastern Australian is typically below average during spring and daytime temperatures are also typically warmer than average for southern Australia. A neutral ENSO phase has little effect on Australian climate.<br /> <br />The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral. Most climate models suggest the IOD is likely to remain neutral in the coming months.<br /> <br />More information<br /><br />Media enquiries: (03) 9669 4057 media@bom.gov.au<br /> <br />Next update expected on 17 July 2018NilaY Wankawalahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01044520060781153252noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31136724.post-60955173783340285712018-07-02T21:10:13.201+05:302018-07-02T21:10:13.201+05:30Heavy rain in parts of NCR FOR las 30 minHeavy rain in parts of NCR FOR las 30 minRawathttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10912449083844686623noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31136724.post-5901844187193789762018-07-02T14:31:25.405+05:302018-07-02T14:31:25.405+05:30West coast is on fireWest coast is on fireKonkani Donhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09584415258412433237noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31136724.post-83778332757950311022018-07-02T07:33:05.804+05:302018-07-02T07:33:05.804+05:30GsB sir in action with raining figures. Missing pe...GsB sir in action with raining figures. Missing per day / no of rainy days analysis as done every year.NilaY Wankawalahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01044520060781153252noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31136724.post-78571920912327009072018-07-02T07:07:09.192+05:302018-07-02T07:07:09.192+05:30FOrcast for this week Rajesh bhaiFOrcast for this week Rajesh bhaiKhan Gazanfarhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06438324742708110574noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31136724.post-39840911497040000442018-07-01T21:26:49.012+05:302018-07-01T21:26:49.012+05:30Why no rain per day analysis as always? Why no rain per day analysis as always? Rajeshhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08511057956916968156noreply@blogger.com