tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31136724.post6711343150767436567..comments2024-03-28T22:32:17.248+05:30Comments on Vagaries of the Weather ©: Rajeshhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/08511057956916968156noreply@blogger.comBlogger9125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31136724.post-18017647944838277442014-06-29T22:44:22.720+05:302014-06-29T22:44:22.720+05:30sir we dont hav rains fir the past two days n seem...sir we dont hav rains fir the past two days n seems critical to all planters out here... will we see some rain by july or is it a doubtful expectation sir... plz respond as we are frustrated wid d climate... thnx sir...Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12536591007395446270noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31136724.post-14344067857129538312014-06-29T22:36:44.490+05:302014-06-29T22:36:44.490+05:30Rice paddy still ok, as transplanting not yet star...Rice paddy still ok, as transplanting not yet started..some farmers met today from Ratnagiri, they said that now saplings are ready, almost 10-12 inches high. Need to transplant by next week, and THAT IS WHEN they need the slush and wet flooded fields, say by Friday....But Aurangabad farmers still waiting to sow the original seeds..Rajeshhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08511057956916968156noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31136724.post-65959959541999160002014-06-29T22:09:16.793+05:302014-06-29T22:09:16.793+05:30Sset... plz don't apply ur logic ...like kids ...Sset... plz don't apply ur logic ...like kids :DPrasadhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08626297112156485413noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31136724.post-89192154578982237742014-06-29T21:04:53.004+05:302014-06-29T21:04:53.004+05:30Thanks for lovely quick reply.1926 needs repeatati...Thanks for lovely quick reply.1926 needs repeatation. :-)NilaY Wankawalahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01044520060781153252noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31136724.post-66181569236464028652014-06-29T20:48:40.321+05:302014-06-29T20:48:40.321+05:30As we see GSBs figures - similar 3 years (2009,190...As we see GSBs figures - similar 3 years (2009,1905,1926) with poor june, moderate jul,aug,sept. Guess we need not worry. As such MAHARASHTRA never faced drought for past decade - and 2013 over excess monsoon + recent hailstroms - soil still has sufficient moisture for different crops - so in theory MAHA does not have drought.ssethttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06630570720915417629noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31136724.post-43061873183686484552014-06-29T19:56:30.131+05:302014-06-29T19:56:30.131+05:30The poor monsoon is obviously causing a lot of con...The poor monsoon is obviously causing a lot of concern...what does past data suggest as to the present situation...<br /><br />Data that is available from IMD from the year 1901 gives us the following picture...<br /><br />We have had three years where rainfall in June at an all India level has been BELOW 100 mm...<br /><br /><br />2009 85.7 mm<br />1905 88.7 mm<br />1926 97.2 mm<br /><br />For these three years the figures for July thru Sep are as follows..<br /><br /><br />2009 85.7(J) 280.6(JL) 192.5(A)139.4(S) 698.2(Total)<br /><br />1905 88.7(J) 252.5(JL) 202.6(A)174.6(S) 718.5(Total)<br /><br />1926 97.2(J) 327.8(JL) 348(A) 210.7(S) 983.7(Total)<br /><br />Since we have already reached a figure of 88.5mm as on date i.e 29th June we might finish this month as the third worst since 1901..somewhere around 93mm...<br /><br />During these three previous years we have ENSO data only for 2009 and that year was an el nino year ...<br /><br />2009<br /> -0.8<br /> -0.7<br /> -0.5<br /> -0.2<br /> 0.2<br /> 0.4<br /> 0.5--JJA<br /> 0.6--JAS--> ELNINO YEAR<br /> 0.8--ASO<br /> 1.1<br /> 1.4<br /> 1.6<br /> <br />The two other years where ENSO data is available for low June rainfall are both years below 120mm rainfall...<br /><br />1965 114.9(J)282.6(JL) 205.4(A)135.4(S) 738.3(Total)<br />2012 117.8(J)250.2(JL) 262.4(A)193.5(S) 823.9(Total)<br /><br />Although not very relevant these two years ....<br /><br />1965<br />-0.6 <br /> -0.3 <br /> 0.0 <br /> 0.2 <br /> 0.5 <br /> 0.8 <br /> 1.2--JJA<br /> 1.5--JAS--> WAS AN ELNINO YEAR<br /> 1.7--ASO<br /> 1.9 <br /> 1.9 <br /> 1.7<br /> <br />and <br /><br />2012<br />0.9<br /> -0.6<br /> -0.5<br /> -0.3<br /> -0.2<br /> 0.0<br /> 0.1--JJA<br /> 0.4--JAS-->WAS NOT AN ELNINO YEAR<br /> 0.5--ASO<br /> 0.6<br /> 0.2<br /> -0.3<br /><br />Confused? Well so are all of us...GSBhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13248409324603442514noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31136724.post-89400176328302605362014-06-29T18:04:12.657+05:302014-06-29T18:04:12.657+05:30Sir is there any hope historically any data sugges...Sir is there any hope historically any data suggest that even if june being so poor, monsoon cud gain strength later in July August ? Inspite of el nino getting delayed as per Australian weather bureau now chances of full fledge el nino in spetember, I feel developing el nino phenomenon is more dangerous than a full fledge el nino aleady established. <br />NilaY Wankawalahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01044520060781153252noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31136724.post-86696332385268021332014-06-29T15:56:03.896+05:302014-06-29T15:56:03.896+05:30Vasai has altogether collected 73 mm rain so far t...Vasai has altogether collected 73 mm rain so far this June, and Mumbai 'Santacruz' has collected 87 mm rain till date , Even though Vasai has dense trees and surrounded by bigger hill's with forest cover in the east . Yet Santacruz managed to lead Vasai in rain total's.(13 mm difference).Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07442419827710299225noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31136724.post-31369816890113618772014-06-29T13:27:42.599+05:302014-06-29T13:27:42.599+05:30As you said rain will peak from 3rd July but still...As you said rain will peak from 3rd July but still at least till 8th July I dont see Typical July Heavy Rains. The problem is lack of Well marked low pressure area in Bay. We had only weak UAC so far, not enough to pull moisture. GRIM.SVThttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09536084821428605284noreply@blogger.com