tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31136724.post6695580433406739551..comments2024-03-28T22:32:17.248+05:30Comments on Vagaries of the Weather ©: Rajeshhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/08511057956916968156noreply@blogger.comBlogger4125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31136724.post-77775379152390101592022-08-16T21:31:19.100+05:302022-08-16T21:31:19.100+05:30Entire southern India horrible dry. Heat wave. No ...Entire southern India horrible dry. Heat wave. No rain since a month.ssethttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06630570720915417629noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31136724.post-25563873888208789942022-08-16T20:56:46.572+05:302022-08-16T20:56:46.572+05:30Is it going to enter Sindh as a depression Sir?? S...Is it going to enter Sindh as a depression Sir?? Severe rains for South Pakistan??shiekhzhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12748622775269959240noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31136724.post-31020168946705430932022-08-16T12:41:49.842+05:302022-08-16T12:41:49.842+05:30Credit Australian Government Bureau of Metereology...Credit Australian Government Bureau of Metereology<br /><br />Issued 16 August 2022<br /><br /><br />The latest Climate Driver Update and Climate Model Summary are now available on the Bureau's website.<br /><br />La Niña ALERT—chance of La Niña increases <br /><br /><br /><br />The Bureau's ENSO Outlook has been raised to La Niña ALERT. This is due to both renewed cooling in the tropical Pacific Ocean as well as climate models indicating La Niña is likely during the austral spring and early summer. Historically, when La Niña ALERT criteria have been met, La Niña has subsequently developed around 70% of the time; this is approximately triple the normal likelihood. La Niña events increase the chances of above-average rainfall for northern and eastern Australia during spring and summer.<br /><br /><br />The negative Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) event continues. The IOD index has been very close to or within negative IOD thresholds (i.e. at or below −0.4 °C) since early June, with the latest weekly value one of the strongest observed so far during this event. All surveyed climate models indicate that negative IOD conditions are likely to continue into late spring. A negative IOD event is typically associated with above average winter–spring rainfall for much of Australia. <br /><br /><br />The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) index is currently neutral and is likely to be mostly positive for the coming three months. During the spring months, positive SAM has a drying influence for western Tasmania, with a wetter influence for parts of eastern NSW and far eastern Victoria.<br /><br />ENSO Outlook<br /><br />Our ENSO Outlook provides<br />up-to-date information on the likelihood of an El Niño or La Niña developing.<br /><br /><br />Current status: La Niña ALERT<br /><br />Read more<br />More information:<br /><br /><br />Media enquiries: (03) 9669 4057 media@bom.gov.au<br /><br />Next update expected on 30 August 2022NilaY Wankawalahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01044520060781153252noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31136724.post-4238393984553405322022-08-15T20:57:11.781+05:302022-08-15T20:57:11.781+05:30August month but no break monsoon. Rains continue ...August month but no break monsoon. Rains continue non stop over maharashtra mumbai.ssethttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06630570720915417629noreply@blogger.com