tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31136724.post2167746681376682405..comments2024-03-28T22:32:17.248+05:30Comments on Vagaries of the Weather ©: Rajeshhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/08511057956916968156noreply@blogger.comBlogger2125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31136724.post-25835690616794122112022-08-02T12:50:44.739+05:302022-08-02T12:50:44.739+05:30Sir its all flooded. Very heavy rains in coastal k...Sir its all flooded. Very heavy rains in coastal karnataka.Momin Photographics Udupihttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12150649978964821124noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31136724.post-77932910767758727112022-08-02T12:07:23.134+05:302022-08-02T12:07:23.134+05:30Credit Autralian Government Bureau of Metereology ...Credit Autralian Government Bureau of Metereology <br /><br />Issued 2 August 2022<br /><br /><br />The latest Climate Driver Update and Climate Model Summary are now available on the Bureau's website.<br /><br />Negative Indian Ocean Dipole under way; La Niña WATCH continues<br /><br /><br />A negative Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) event is under way. The IOD index has been very close to or exceeded negative IOD thresholds (i.e., at or below −0.4 °C) over the past eight weeks. All climate model outlooks surveyed indicate that negative IOD conditions are likely to continue into late spring. A negative IOD event is associated with above average winter–spring rainfall for much of Australia. <br /><br /><br /><br />The Bureau's ENSO Outlook remains at La Niña WATCH, meaning there is around a 50% chance (double the normal likelihood) of La Niña forming later in 2022. This is a result of current observations and model outlooks. La Niña events increase the chance of above average winter–spring rainfall across much of northern and eastern Australia. <br /><br /><br /><br />The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) index is currently neutral, with neutral to weakly positive values forecast for the rest of August. Positive SAM has a drying influence for parts of south-west and south-east Australia, while neutral SAM has little influence on Australian rainfall.<br /><br />Read more on our website<br />More information:<br /><br /><br /><br />Media enquiries: (03) 9669 4057 media@bom.gov.au<br /><br />Next update expected on 16 August 2022NilaY Wankawalahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01044520060781153252noreply@blogger.com