Some FAQs on the so called "unusual heat" answered. 

[February: In exceptionally warm years, parts of Maharashtra, Gujarat, and Telangana can hit 40°C by the last week of February. For instance, in 2023, several locations in Maharashtra and Gujarat recorded temperatures close to or at 40°C as early as February 12-16.] 

India's Earliest 40°c as per Vagaries' Records was on: 16th February 2023 in Bhuj.. 40.4°c

So, 2026 is not a record Heat February ( no panic) .. 40° Still few days away. 

2026 performance till date👇

 Down to Earth analysis

Regional Breakdown of Gridded Heat

Region	Current Grid Range (Feb 2026)	Trend vs. Normal
Northwest India	25–30°C	Appreciably Above Normal (+3-5°C)
Central India	30–35°C	Above Normal (+2-3°C)
South Peninsula	35–38°C	Near Normal to Slightly Above

 17th February

Mostly Dry weather in the country due to absence of any systems. Convergence of local winds may bring light thundershowers around Delhi NCR.

Delhi: Light rains on 18th. Day's maximum around 28/30°and nights at 15/16°.

City Outlook for next 4 days till 20th February. 

Mumbai : Warm and hazy day. Moderate North winds will prevent extreme heat, keeping temperature within 32° in the day. Nights around 20/21°. AQI : 120

Pune: Warm and hazy. Day warm at 34° and minimum around 16° (not cold). AQI :150

Sambhajinagar :Temperatures between 33° and 16°. AQI : 110.

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#T20worldcup

Rainfall expected in Colombo on 18th/19th/20th. 

From Sweaters to Sweat: Delhi Logs Earliest 30°C Day in Over a Decade

 Delhi Safdarjung recorded 31.6c on 16 Feb, which is 7.2c above normal. This is the earliest occurrence of +30c temperature in a calendar year at least since 2011. Data: IMD

 15th February..Day's Temperatures 

India's Hottest:

India's Coldest:

Maharashtra Hottest: Mumbai at 35.2°

Gujarat Hottest: Deesa 35.8°

 Mumbai & Pune Weather performance in 1-14 February Period 2026.

Pune:

14th:Temperatures Max 32.7° Min 14.0°

Mumbai:

Temperatures on 14th Max 33.8° Mim 19.9°

All India Toppers on 14th February

 

13th February 

Weekend Outlook for Mumbai & Pune 

Scanty Clouds and Haze.  East winds making days warmer.

Mumbai: Days warmer at 35/36°...warmer than last week’s 32°. 

Nights at 21/22°..against last week’s 19°.

Pune: Days at 33/34°..More than last week’s 31°.

Nights warmer at 16°.

 8th February:

After a Cold January, a steady temperature range is observed in NW and Central India. The absence of any strong Western Disturbance would likely result in the forecasted rise in day and night temperatures. Summer feel in the daytime starting a little earlier for Mumbai, Konkan, Goa and Gujarat

A gradual rise in day and night temperatures is expected in NW India. Central India and Northern peninsula Regions.

Mumbai: Gradual rise in day temperatures and Night temperatures. With a moderate increase in Humidity, some sweatiness in the afternoon could be experienced;

Expected temperature Range from 9th - 13th February will be around 34/25c - 21/22c at Santacruz and 34c-23/24c at Colaba.

Pune: Gradually getting warmer with some relief at night .Temperatures rang expected between 32c - 15c

.Mahabaleshwar: Sunny afternoons getting warm at 26c. Nights cooling down to 14/15c.

Sambhajinagar/Jalgaon: Steady Temperature ranging between 32c - 15c.

Goa: Ranging between 34c - 22c.

Surat/Bharuch: Warmer days at 34/35c and Nights at 18/19c.

New Delhi: Misty. Remaining pleasantly cold at 24/25c and nights at 10/12c.

(IMD)

Expected Day Temperature in the Week

(NCMRWF)

:Night Temperatures expected in the week

 4th February 

FOR REFERENCE 👉

NASA-ISRO Radar Mission Peers Through Clouds to See Mississippi River Delta

 4th February morning temperatures 

 See General Non Weather Page ...with new Info.

 3rd February Post:

Next Week warming up a bit in NW, Central and Peninsula India. 

Expected Temperatures Maps

 

Image Courtesy NCMRWF

Similarly,  3/4° rise in Night Temperature also.

------------------------------

Mumbai: Outlook for 3rd - 7th February:

Hazy days, with high clouds. Days getting warmer to reach 34/35°. Comfort level low .

Nights too around 21/23°.

AIR Quality Index moderate ar 150/170.

Pune: Getting warmer and can reach 32°. Nights may not get cooler now and could be around 15°.

AIR Quality Index high around 170- 200.

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A pictorial summary of the actual Temperatures in end January 

Unusual January Warmth in Pune

Pune Shivajinagar average minimum temperature this January is 13.6c which is the 3rd highest avg. minimum temperature recorded here in January since 2014. Data: IMD

The attached map shows average minimum temperature in January for 2014-2026.

Also, on 30th January 2026, Pune recorded a low of 18.2°c.

This was the 4th warmest January nights ever 

The ranking is:

Warmest January Nights Ever:

1. In 2002  :26.6°c

2. In 2013  :20.0°c

3. In 2021  :19.1°c

4. In 2026  :18.2°c

Extreme January Cold

Following a significant winter storm, frigid temperatures lingered in late January 2026 across a vast swath of the U.S

.

 NASA Earth Observatory

 29th January....W.D. as mentioned in yesterdays Post

 How Reliable are Climate Models.

See Authour's Page

 27th Night Post:

A series of 3 W.D.s are crossing thru North India.  After the first gone, second W.D. crossed on 27th and into 28th. The induced low over Rajasthan attracted moisture from the Arabian Sea into Central India..seen in image.

The SW pull brought rains to central India and Northern Maharashtra. 

Jalgaon received heavy showers.

Mumbai Pune got mild drizzle (0.1 mm)on 27th morning.

Another W.D. is expected on 30th. This continuous 3 in row systems reduce the cold North winds from blowing, and Prevent the usually expected Cold wave in Maharashtra and Gujarat. 

Temperatures Outlook for 28th Wednesday- 31st Sunday :

Mumbai: Hazy skies with cool winds in the day. Days around pleasant 29/31°c. Nights constant as now at 18/20°c.

Pune: Pleasant days and day temperature at 29/31°c and nights at 14/16°c.

Mahabaleshwar: Pleasant cool days at 25°c but nights not going below 15°c.

Bharuch : Moderate weather with cool day winds. Temperature ranging between 31/32c and 15/16°c.

Maximum/Minimum Temperatures on 26th January 2026

India:

High Rainfall in India: Tamilnadu:

Maharashtra:

Gujarat:

World:

Ceduna Airport (Australia) 49.3°c

Coldest: Suhana(Russia):-51.3°c

Global Warming is Only A Modest Problem

Global Warming is Only A Modest Problem

Human-forced global warming (also called "Climate Change" by some) is only a modest problem.   

The scientific facts are clear:

It is NOT an existential threat to humanity.   It is NOT a crisis.

*Extreme Weather, Enhanced by Climate Change, Is Causing Increasing Numbers of Deaths

You have heard the claim multiple times:   increasing extreme weather resulting from climate change is resulting in many more extreme weather-related deaths.

This is simply untrue.   Deaths from extreme weather (extreme heat/cold, hurricanes, extreme windstorms, flooding, etc.) are down...a LOT (see proof below).

Such deaths are down even though there are a lot more people on the planet.  

Why?   Much better forecasts allow people to get out of the way or prepare.  Many nations have invested in making themselves less vulnerable to severe weather--including some of the poorest.

Want an example?  In 1970, Cyclone (Hurricane) Bhola hit Bangladish and nearly 500,000 people died.

In 2020, a more powerful storm (Super Cyclone Amphan) hit virtually the same location, with only 133 deaths.

Severe storm deaths are profoundly down.....is this a "crisis"?

*Extreme Temperature Deaths Will Decline

There is a deep literature showing that cold waves kill far more people than heat waves.   For example, a 2015 article in The Lancet found 17 times more deaths from cold than heat (see figure from that article below).

Thus, global warming will REDUCE deaths from extreme temperatures. 

From Cliff Masters Blog

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13000 flights Cancelled, Power Outage as Winter grips U.S.

Cold Snap expected in U.S.

See World Weather News Page 

24th January 

Precipitation from the Awaited Strong W.D.

H.P.