tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31136724.post7663573021766774435..comments2024-03-28T22:32:17.248+05:30Comments on Vagaries of the Weather ©: Rajeshhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/08511057956916968156noreply@blogger.comBlogger5125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31136724.post-71255263790404618402019-05-28T15:45:00.625+05:302019-05-28T15:45:00.625+05:30Always risk of south east india desertification - ...Always risk of south east india desertification - specially Andhra Pradesh -> Rayalseema, Anantapur, Chittor, Cuddapa, Kurnool + Many parts of northern Tamil Nadu. In short all these areas depend on unreliable failure oriented NEMs with addition of soaring heatwaves.ssethttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06630570720915417629noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31136724.post-64701572706944905212019-05-28T13:18:17.498+05:302019-05-28T13:18:17.498+05:30Ramagundam heat is normal for this time of the yea...Ramagundam heat is normal for this time of the year as it is coal region hence heat will be exceptional.<br />Interstingly, north west india did not face continous hot days thanks to western disturbances.Narayanan chennaihttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01062318714588165725noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31136724.post-70897106343984451582019-05-28T10:44:46.941+05:302019-05-28T10:44:46.941+05:30Credit Australian government bureau of meteorology...Credit Australian government bureau of meteorology ENSO wrap up <br /><br />Issued 28 May 2019<br /> <br />The latest ENSO Wrap-Up and Climate Model Summary are now available on the Bureau's website.<br /> <br />Positive Indian Ocean Dipole likelihood increases<br /> <br />ENSO Outlook<br />Our ENSO Outlook provides<br />up-to-date information on the likelihood of an El Niño or La Niña developing.<br /><br />ENSO Outlook dial showing El Niño WATCH status<br /><br />Current status: El Niño WATCH<br /><br />The Pacific Ocean and overlying atmosphere remain close to El Niño thresholds, so the ENSO Outlook remains at El Niño WATCH. Models indicate the tropical Pacific Ocean will ease away from El Niño levels, becoming neutral during winter. The Indian Ocean is expected to become the dominant influence on Australian climate, with models predicting a positive phase of the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is likely to develop in the coming months.<br /> <br />An active phase of the Madden–Julian Oscillation in the last fortnight weakened the trade winds and brought a small rise in sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the central and western tropical Pacific Ocean and a drop in the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI). This has sustained the El Niño-like pattern in the Pacific. While a prolonged weakening of the trade winds could elevate El Niño chances once again, the majority of surveyed models suggest the tropical Pacific will cool to neutral levels during winter.<br /> <br />In the Indian Ocean, further warming off the horn of Africa has meant that the IOD index exceeded the positive threshold value this week. All but one of the models surveyed suggest positive IOD levels will be maintained throughout winter. To be considered an event, these values would need to be sustained for at least two months. A positive IOD often results in below average winter–spring rainfall over southern and central Australia.<br /> <br />More information<br /><br />Media enquiries: (03) 9669 4057 media@bom.gov.au<br /> <br />Next update expected on 11 June 2019NilaY Wankawalahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01044520060781153252noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31136724.post-4296129797187431982019-05-28T08:49:51.080+05:302019-05-28T08:49:51.080+05:30Approximately 222 days since it rained last time i...Approximately 222 days since it rained last time in mumbai(Santacruz). Hopefully rains arrive in Mumbai as soon as possible.Cumulus arjunhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11068570159021555200noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31136724.post-80479902027968192672019-05-27T21:30:16.564+05:302019-05-27T21:30:16.564+05:30Andhra Pradesh Ramagundum touches boiling at 48c !...Andhra Pradesh Ramagundum touches boiling at 48c ! India most hottest and heat wave state AP.<br />Since last few years Rajasthan / Gujarat are escaping heat waves probably because of western disturbances.<br />Do we see cyclone in Arabian sea dumping monstrous torrential rains over Saudi Desert just like last few years in month of may-june?<br /><br />Huge change in climate pattern.ssethttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06630570720915417629noreply@blogger.com