tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31136724.post6991195397463102813..comments2024-03-28T14:59:35.045+05:30Comments on Vagaries of the Weather ©: Rajeshhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/08511057956916968156noreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31136724.post-74124620115936866572011-10-05T12:36:35.800+05:302011-10-05T12:36:35.800+05:30NT:Will wait for the UAC to declare the retreat of...NT:Will wait for the UAC to declare the retreat of SWM from Mumbai..maybe a couple of days.Rajeshhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08511057956916968156noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31136724.post-38557405744493190902011-10-04T15:00:47.863+05:302011-10-04T15:00:47.863+05:30Rajesh, the IMD has announced the formation of a U...Rajesh, the IMD has announced the formation of a UAC in EC Arabian Sea off the Konkan-Goa coast. You had informed of the UAC having formed in your blog 3-4 days back, the IMD at that time had not mentioned any such UAC. None of the COLA models though seem to be showing the UAC currently. Also, I am finding a large variation in various models with respect to the Mumbai weather. The BBC seems to think there will be rain / showers for the next 2 days and then Sunny weather. The 00z GFS forecasts seem to suggest rains till Saturday with high CAPE values on Friday. Not sure why there is such variation across different models for this time of the year (as opposed to peak Monsoon when various systems are expected to form / not form and in varying intensities). What's your take Rajeshbhai.NTnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31136724.post-36988724309801773692011-10-03T20:27:19.506+05:302011-10-03T20:27:19.506+05:30shridhar/svt: Many areas of Mumbai got showers tod...shridhar/svt: Many areas of Mumbai got showers today (Monday) morning, ranging from 3 mms-10 mms.<br />I see SWM withdrawing today from Vidharbh and Chattisgarh.<br />My actaul observation of the developments in Mumbai today showed an increase in towering cb clouds.and a dis-colouration of the cloud tops.<br />I see a max of 1 or 2 showers for Mumbai before Thursday. Showers now could be in anytime, i mean not restricted to evening. since Mumbai is surrounded by the withdrawal, signs indicate its a matter of 4 days for Mumbai.Rajeshhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08511057956916968156noreply@blogger.com