tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31136724.post5637833788833119400..comments2024-03-28T22:32:17.248+05:30Comments on Vagaries of the Weather ©: Rajeshhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/08511057956916968156noreply@blogger.comBlogger26125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31136724.post-51511046931446042952016-04-25T00:54:44.963+05:302016-04-25T00:54:44.963+05:30several reasons attributed to heat wave in East an...several reasons attributed to heat wave in East and SE India: Briefly 1. Lack of pre monsoon rains, 2. Non formation of the trough (LWD) in the central peninsula region...3. formation of INLAND trough in interior of east coast...4. Continuous flow of upper air WDs preventing the formation...5. WDs keeping extreme heat away from NW india.<br />As mentioned in "Flash Snippet", heat waves in Bengal (Kolkata) and Odisha can lessen from Tuesday.Rajeshhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08511057956916968156noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31136724.post-30027794258662920552016-04-25T00:10:33.927+05:302016-04-25T00:10:33.927+05:30Some rain news in this current record breaking hea...Some rain news in this current record breaking heat wave !!<br /><br />Cherrapunji recorded 421mm rainall ending 8.30am today which is also highest 24hrs rainfall in last 10yrs for April month !!<br />And seasonal rainfall stands at 2211mm from 1st March up to 24 Apr 2016..Abhijit Modakhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08373516043657476859noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31136724.post-579986985538953922016-04-24T22:23:41.922+05:302016-04-24T22:23:41.922+05:30Bangalore max temp 39.2°C today !! So with this br...Bangalore max temp 39.2°C today !! So with this break it's all time record of 85yrs old for April month which was 38.3c !!<br /><br />Also highest ever temp in history which was 38.9c on 22nd May 1931 is also broken today.. Thanks for info Arjun LV & Srikanth.. Abhijit Modakhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08373516043657476859noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31136724.post-32559687203973047052016-04-24T21:26:43.433+05:302016-04-24T21:26:43.433+05:30Entire eastern India except NE is under heat wave ...Entire eastern India except NE is under heat wave right from TN,AP,KAR...to Orissa,WB. Some very peculiar facts for this year (a) AP (Telangana/Rayalseema) is state with longest duration under heat wave from February on-wards which is of very concern (b) Bangalore likely to break all records of highest temperatures very soon > 38c (c)NE states continue to receive record breaking rains (d) Complete absence of pre-monsoon rains in entire south despite boiling temperatures - last year 2015 Khammam touched 48c (d) NW states GUJ / RAJ have are completely safe from heat waves! with generous WD...ssethttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06630570720915417629noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31136724.post-499640100660418642016-04-24T21:23:51.859+05:302016-04-24T21:23:51.859+05:30Please throw some light on why eastern India is be...Please throw some light on why eastern India is bearing the brunt of terrible heat this summer and why there is no respite?Wasimhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00254324854064456378noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31136724.post-935695467510886122016-04-24T20:39:51.602+05:302016-04-24T20:39:51.602+05:30Bangalore records 39.2 today. 100 year record brok...Bangalore records 39.2 today. 100 year record broken. I am stunned :(Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03286469410674161869noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31136724.post-73705180094771511592016-04-24T15:57:26.935+05:302016-04-24T15:57:26.935+05:30Bangalore touches 38c very soon it may beat 100 ye...Bangalore touches 38c very soon it may beat 100 years record - simple reason again Rayalseema/Anatapur is boiling - Tirupathi 44.5cssethttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06630570720915417629noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31136724.post-43991288461318353452016-04-24T12:19:36.629+05:302016-04-24T12:19:36.629+05:30actually it is season for cyclones in southern hem...actually it is season for cyclones in southern hemisphere - by month of MAY they all clear offssethttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06630570720915417629noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31136724.post-17967281533229247342016-04-24T11:37:28.015+05:302016-04-24T11:37:28.015+05:30I THINK another CYCLONE developing IN INDIAN OCEAN...I THINK another CYCLONE developing IN INDIAN OCEAN!VISHWAShttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17687948779895962538noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31136724.post-75905840675573684132016-04-23T14:48:22.704+05:302016-04-23T14:48:22.704+05:30Sir whats your forecast for mumbai and konkan in m...Sir whats your forecast for mumbai and konkan in may ? Are pre monsoonal rains likely?Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00224077311647775592noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31136724.post-21364291569995220932016-04-23T13:17:09.704+05:302016-04-23T13:17:09.704+05:30sir, what is outlook for May in Delhi and north in...sir, what is outlook for May in Delhi and north india Rawathttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10912449083844686623noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31136724.post-13902178516517308552016-04-23T10:45:51.023+05:302016-04-23T10:45:51.023+05:30http://www.bangaloremirror.com/news/state/Agumbe-W...http://www.bangaloremirror.com/news/state/Agumbe-Wettest-place-in-Ktaka-is-fast-going-dry/articleshow/51949479.cms<br /><br />Agumbe going dry?ssethttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06630570720915417629noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31136724.post-73312705082362905982016-04-23T06:38:50.747+05:302016-04-23T06:38:50.747+05:30Congrats sir it reflects the wide reader base of y...Congrats sir it reflects the wide reader base of your blog....its like a newspaper you may order a copy but at home there are 6 other members reading it...means all may not be putting their comments here bit indeed a great number of people follows your work ....NilaY Wankawalahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01044520060781153252noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31136724.post-74737656076226306912016-04-22T23:19:52.510+05:302016-04-22T23:19:52.510+05:30Entry
Monsoon Watch - 2...2016
Apr 20, 2016, 12 ...Entry <br />Monsoon Watch - 2...2016 <br />Apr 20, 2016, 12 comments<br />Pageviews: 3588..22nd AprilRajeshhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08511057956916968156noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31136724.post-83502176096197682112016-04-22T22:56:59.944+05:302016-04-22T22:56:59.944+05:30abizer: A delayed start does not mean deficit rain...abizer: A delayed start does not mean deficit rains. It may be a sluggish start, but overall we will give quantum estimate of SWM performance in later MWs.<br />Moshin: Cyclones generally form in the beginning of season (May/Jun) or in the end (Oct/Nov). So it may affect monsoon only if it interferes with the parameters we discuss.<br />Fantala has dis organised the southern equator winds as yet. But, like i mentioned, things can change fast.Rajeshhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08511057956916968156noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31136724.post-90398958845064236772016-04-22T22:44:17.382+05:302016-04-22T22:44:17.382+05:30Cyclone fantala actually south indian ocean and mo...Cyclone fantala actually south indian ocean and monsoon arrival time in kerela very far.i dont think it will create imapct on onset..ur view on that..Mohsin mullahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06450461757360526311noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31136724.post-28795299675815048192016-04-22T13:20:32.538+05:302016-04-22T13:20:32.538+05:30Rajesh sir,
it is confirm that the monsoon will de...Rajesh sir,<br />it is confirm that the monsoon will delayed in kerela or andaman.<br />the IMD and all private forecaster forecast better monsoon this year.<br />why every time on onset of monsoon cyclone generate in bay and Arabian sea and its imapct on monsoon directly and what abt cyclone fantala its formimg in bay or arabian sea.Mohsin mullahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06450461757360526311noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31136724.post-76782364282011137832016-04-21T18:52:29.074+05:302016-04-21T18:52:29.074+05:30Bangalore Data:
I took sum of all the max in april...Bangalore Data:<br />I took sum of all the max in april. The sum reached 763 for 21 days. So the average is stunning 36.3.<br />For 21 days or 3 weeks the max at avg of 36.3.<br />That is unbelievable.<br />Its like a batsmen hitting 100+ in 10 back to back one dayers.Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03286469410674161869noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31136724.post-22394958635011609532016-04-21T13:19:09.806+05:302016-04-21T13:19:09.806+05:30Rajesh sir,if there's a delay in onset of mons...Rajesh sir,if there's a delay in onset of monsoon over bay and kerela,then ot would result in a sluggish start,IMD is saying that monsoon will set over kerela by a delay of more than ten days,then won't it affect the quantum of rains in june all over the country and thevremaining three months have to make up for the deficient rains in june ?isn't it?Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00224077311647775592noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31136724.post-81551188096647953582016-04-21T12:47:02.986+05:302016-04-21T12:47:02.986+05:30neeraj: Hello. Its been a long time since we heard...neeraj: Hello. Its been a long time since we heard from you. Hope all ok.<br />Yes, el Nino has been mentioned as a wek event in our article, justified with figures of ONI, SOI and SST.<br />ENSO is one of the weighted parameters in calculating the quantum of rain. Hence a neutral event, or a quick development of a La Nina would mean better rains in the second half of the SWM. Could even mean prolonged rainy season.<br /><br />srikanth: Yes, like i mentioned, Fantala is creating some dis order in the winds. We should expect it to fade away from our "reach".Rajeshhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08511057956916968156noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31136724.post-21571508651817105712016-04-21T12:09:16.814+05:302016-04-21T12:09:16.814+05:30Isn't the ElNino weakening rapidly ? NOAA is p...Isn't the ElNino weakening rapidly ? NOAA is predicting enso neutral conditions by late spring and transition into LaNina by mid summer. Would this mean better monsoon rains during the second half of the season? <br /><br />And , on another note, this year has been very hot in my area too. 33.6 , yesterday, 20th april, with similar temperatures expected today. Its quite hot for these parts.<br />Neerajhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04482856670300630431noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31136724.post-69503083780734297062016-04-21T06:55:04.708+05:302016-04-21T06:55:04.708+05:30Excellent follow up...Eagerly awaiting the next in...Excellent follow up...Eagerly awaiting the next in series. ...NilaY Wankawalahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01044520060781153252noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31136724.post-30416845253457518722016-04-21T06:13:03.075+05:302016-04-21T06:13:03.075+05:30Thank you Sir for a good recap of the current scen...Thank you Sir for a good recap of the current scenario. <br /><br />Cyclone Fantala is expected to linger for another 5 - 7 days Sir, so till that time I think we cannot expect any movement towards Cross Equatorial winds strengthening for the next week or 10 days. Also Sir dont you think till Cyclone Fantala influence fades away ITCZ also may not move North towards Equator. The absence of Bay Low is a big worry and possibly going to influence the Bay Branch of SWM onset. I was for sometime suspecting we may not see a ontime onset or possibly a weak onset feels good that somebody like you is also possibly expecting a slow onset. <br /><br />Srikanthhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05187934773147266718noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31136724.post-70985652677785093282016-04-21T00:26:30.012+05:302016-04-21T00:26:30.012+05:30Karan/Gaurav: Ist indicator is positive as given i...Karan/Gaurav: Ist indicator is positive as given in main article....so we have 2 -ve. Thanks for pointing out.Rajeshhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08511057956916968156noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31136724.post-64245357856180743402016-04-21T00:08:06.605+05:302016-04-21T00:08:06.605+05:30Sir,confusion on seasonal low parameter.....is it ...Sir,confusion on seasonal low parameter.....is it positive or negative???Gaurav raningahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01984904496164665752noreply@blogger.com